{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0fef1759-33e8-486d-b988-8ce903901c3f", "symbol": "GTB", "name": "Getabec Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 64.347, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 51.257, "architecture_energy": 36.278, "architecture_maturity": 7.432, "architecture_confidence": 68.394, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.09, "rotation_up": 54.38, "upward_expansion": 75.39, "deceleration": 56.23, "rotation_down": 14.17, "downward_expansion": 4.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.707333, 0.701818, 0.700418, 0.694657 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.71, "trend_reference": 0.680795, "distance_from_trend": 0.042899, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.628954, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.128858, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.208321, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.148009, "excess_performance": -0.044316, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042899, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037148, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.128858, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020247, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.072083, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008788, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.148009, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.886052, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 485800, "relative_activity": 0.546567, "balance": 0.886052, "dry_up": 1.047062, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043337, "annualized_volatility": 0.131119, "from_high_reference": -0.065789, "from_low_reference": 0.201823 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.680795, "fair_value_reference": 0.628954, "structural_low": 0.609231, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.014286, "positive_rate": 0.263158, "directional_follow_through": 0.263158, "median_excess_return": -0.001999, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.204545, "worst_return": -0.221239, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.043552, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.075352, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.026636, "worst_return": -0.113924, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.038961, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.0606, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.113394, "worst_return": -0.141593, "sufficient": true }, { 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0.698667, 0.696909, 0.697388, 0.68863 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.71, "volume": 793200, "typical_volume": 957725.0, "trend": 0.675641, "fair_value": 0.627307, "relative_strength": -9.578823, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.54039, "energy": 28.486272, "activity_lines": [ 0.704, 0.699455, 0.698901, 0.691024 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.7, "volume": 442900, "typical_volume": 938085.0, "trend": 0.678051, "fair_value": 0.628229, "relative_strength": -9.42719, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.997004, "energy": 28.858916, "activity_lines": [ 0.704667, 0.699818, 0.699245, 0.692596 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.71, "volume": 485800, "typical_volume": 888820.0, "trend": 0.680795, "fair_value": 0.628954, "relative_strength": -7.208321, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.257342, "energy": 36.277902, "activity_lines": [ 0.707333, 0.701818, 0.700418, 0.694657 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }