{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ff728dc-0087-4819-b92c-afa1bded97ad", "symbol": "GAUG", "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY MODERATE BUFFER ETF - AUGUST", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 51.073, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.26, "architecture_energy": 89.229, "architecture_maturity": 45.803, "architecture_confidence": 81.121, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.69, "rotation_up": 67.88, "upward_expansion": 98.16, "deceleration": 40.2, "rotation_down": 27.07, "downward_expansion": 20.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.73742, 41.584116, 41.28578, 40.844385 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 41.92, "trend_reference": 40.333227, "distance_from_trend": 0.039342, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.675552, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.175034, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.708639, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.059388, "excess_performance": -0.066236, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039342, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020413, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.175034, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012606, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.057086, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001058, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.059388, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.722783, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47187, "relative_activity": 0.679199, "balance": 3.722783, "dry_up": 0.706813, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.006551, "annualized_volatility": 0.057168, "from_high_reference": -0.000713, "from_low_reference": 0.117271 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.333227, "fair_value_reference": 35.675552, "structural_low": 37.99, 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"date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.775, "volume": 23606, "typical_volume": 69574.25, "trend": 40.254227, "fair_value": 35.635004, "relative_strength": -2.921696, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.881197, "energy": 89.821039, "activity_lines": [ 41.624173, 41.486313, 41.166678, 40.736915 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.92, "volume": 47187, "typical_volume": 69474.5, "trend": 40.333227, "fair_value": 35.675552, "relative_strength": -5.708639, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.260311, "energy": 89.22856, "activity_lines": [ 41.73742, 41.584116, 41.28578, 40.844385 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }