{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ffc0042-4b02-48da-864b-5f8855694340", "symbol": "ATLO", "name": "Ames National Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.428, "architecture_energy": 44.814, "architecture_maturity": 13.454, "architecture_confidence": 80.258, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.54, "rotation_up": 55.57, "upward_expansion": 76.0, "deceleration": 61.97, "rotation_down": 18.92, "downward_expansion": 5.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.486, 30.188909, 29.623051, 29.050371 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 31.25, "trend_reference": 28.122492, "distance_from_trend": 0.11121, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.723668, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.584391, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.209687, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.137502, "excess_performance": -0.049952, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11121, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106495, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.584391, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058358, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.102097, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016917, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.137502, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.950669, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 187299, "relative_activity": 0.582396, "balance": 1.950669, "dry_up": 0.555412, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050154, "annualized_volatility": 0.178353, "from_high_reference": -0.028296, "from_low_reference": 0.748973 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.122492, "fair_value_reference": 19.723668, "structural_low": 25.733299, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.019075, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.030526, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.147757, "worst_return": -0.147325, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.01731, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006548, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.227799, "worst_return": -0.221731, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.094464, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.143092, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.31272, "worst_return": -0.18811, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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10.657129, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.599401, "energy": 35.732375, "activity_lines": [ 29.636667, 29.60399, 29.071814, 28.459028 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.05, "volume": 226387, "typical_volume": 327725.7, "trend": 27.565019, "fair_value": 19.540552, "relative_strength": 13.379099, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.217337, "energy": 32.37399, "activity_lines": [ 29.752, 29.739447, 29.218476, 28.635187 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.59, "volume": 126327, "typical_volume": 324631.85, "trend": 27.839636, "fair_value": 19.629132, "relative_strength": 14.050036, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.530608, "energy": 37.714925, "activity_lines": [ 30.008, 29.922727, 29.399246, 28.830347 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.25, "volume": 187299, "typical_volume": 321600.95, "trend": 28.122492, "fair_value": 19.723668, "relative_strength": 10.209687, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.428026, "energy": 44.813799, "activity_lines": [ 30.486, 30.188909, 29.623051, 29.050371 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }