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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.306, "architecture_energy": 69.271, "architecture_maturity": 81.488, "architecture_confidence": 73.7, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.12, "rotation_up": 55.45, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.19, "rotation_down": 28.55, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 428.589999, 426.594728, 420.131808, 411.485778 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 437.029999, "trend_reference": 401.427634, "distance_from_trend": 0.088689, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 340.967031, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.281737, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.81857, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.141031, "excess_performance": 0.076391, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088689, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041209, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.281737, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.038186, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047887, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141031, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.795073, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2041, "relative_activity": 0.797219, "balance": 2.795073, "dry_up": 0.850927, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01672, "annualized_volatility": 0.107075, "from_high_reference": -0.001759, "from_low_reference": 0.239249 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 401.427634, "fair_value_reference": 340.967031, "structural_low": 364.350006, 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"activity_lines": [ 425.806004, 424.026366, 415.688951, 407.540929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 422.269989, "volume": 1323, "typical_volume": 2934.1, "trend": 399.804746, "fair_value": 339.855569, "relative_strength": 3.264544, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.475025, "energy": 60.6341, "activity_lines": [ 424.798666, 424.013637, 417.307331, 409.084149 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 437.029999, "volume": 2041, "typical_volume": 2560.15, "trend": 401.427634, "fair_value": 340.967031, "relative_strength": 3.81857, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.306401, "energy": 69.271047, "activity_lines": [ 428.589999, 426.594728, 420.131808, 411.485778 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }