{ "ticker": { "uuid": "10146f17-e747-456e-bfaa-98d2086f4ec5", "symbol": "00911", "name": "Mega ICE Semiconductor ETF", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.675, "architecture_energy": 26.129, "architecture_maturity": 72.432, "architecture_confidence": 91.436, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.08, "rotation_up": 18.94, "upward_expansion": 54.03, "deceleration": 93.99, "rotation_down": 34.11, "downward_expansion": 20.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.734287, 56.663419, 56.164873, 52.486679 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 54.25, "trend_reference": 47.466734, "distance_from_trend": 0.142906, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.877416, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.94602, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.560392, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.419414, "excess_performance": 0.040102, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.142906, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.241698, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.94602, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.209741, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.065604, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115767, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.419414, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.350468, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3183143, "relative_activity": 1.495257, "balance": 1.350468, "dry_up": 1.552392, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083437, "annualized_volatility": 0.378814, "from_high_reference": -0.170489, "from_low_reference": 1.313694 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.466734, "fair_value_reference": 27.877416, "structural_low": 33.98, "invalidation": "A 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57.682066, 58.947701, 55.096613, 50.759349 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 56.650002, "volume": 1807758, "typical_volume": 1916204.15, "trend": 45.972788, "fair_value": 27.416825, "relative_strength": 13.571345, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.547955, "energy": 31.59304, "activity_lines": [ 56.901635, 58.509001, 55.715906, 51.504562 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.650002, "volume": 4040143, "typical_volume": 2026832.1, "trend": 46.704397, "fair_value": 27.64735, "relative_strength": 8.459045, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.458755, "energy": 27.482948, "activity_lines": [ 55.438739, 57.507574, 55.954009, 51.999866 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.25, "volume": 3183143, "typical_volume": 2128827.05, "trend": 47.466734, "fair_value": 27.877416, "relative_strength": 6.560392, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.674833, "energy": 26.128522, "activity_lines": [ 54.734287, 56.663419, 56.164873, 52.486679 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }