{ "ticker": { "uuid": "10206621-0b41-4a4a-89c5-cfaa9da3acd1", "symbol": "TMI", "name": "Teera-Mongkol Industry Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.106, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.656, "architecture_energy": 24.746, "architecture_maturity": 10.314, "architecture_confidence": 95.29, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.12, "rotation_up": 21.14, "upward_expansion": 2.31, "deceleration": 49.12, "rotation_down": 44.3, "downward_expansion": 75.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.469333, 0.471455, 0.478952, 0.485635 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.47, "trend_reference": 0.491712, "distance_from_trend": -0.044155, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.828019, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.43238, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.494985, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.001633, "excess_performance": -0.193959, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.044155, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021307, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.43238, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01851, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.21495, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043769, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.001633, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.625095, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2502100, "relative_activity": 1.297373, "balance": 0.625095, "dry_up": 1.384211, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081833, "annualized_volatility": 0.231651, "from_high_reference": -0.334423, "from_low_reference": 0.068182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.491712, "fair_value_reference": 0.828019, "structural_low": 0.44, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.018653, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.015344, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.318183, "worst_return": -0.247312, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.02671, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.036509, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.38255, "worst_return": -0.315218, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.041569, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.067082, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.220184, "worst_return": -0.394477, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"direction": -46.527243, "energy": 23.385795, "activity_lines": [ 0.476667, 0.477091, 0.485714, 0.490936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.47, "volume": 3700000, "typical_volume": 1849090.0, "trend": 0.494058, "fair_value": 0.83977, "relative_strength": -24.305071, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.407161, "energy": 26.922975, "activity_lines": [ 0.474, 0.475091, 0.483571, 0.489277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.46, "volume": 399700, "typical_volume": 1825935.0, "trend": 0.492391, "fair_value": 0.833953, "relative_strength": -24.433718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.005838, "energy": 32.613382, "activity_lines": [ 0.469333, 0.472, 0.480667, 0.487079 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.47, "volume": 2502100, "typical_volume": 1928590.0, "trend": 0.491712, "fair_value": 0.828019, "relative_strength": -21.494985, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.656223, "energy": 24.745939, "activity_lines": [ 0.469333, 0.471455, 0.478952, 0.485635 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }