{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1024b537-1eac-4e65-851e-4f7f04816a85",
    "symbol": "200512",
    "name": "Tsann Kuen (China) Enterprise Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.017,
    "architecture_energy": 66.431,
    "architecture_maturity": 92.033,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.363,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.17,
        "rotation_up": 11.91,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 58.96,
        "rotation_down": 73.26,
        "downward_expansion": 85.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.068667,
        2.149384,
        2.267901,
        2.408539
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.23,
    "trend_reference": 2.603372,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.143419,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.974196,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.250218,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -25.408025,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.254181,
    "excess_performance": -0.26158,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.143419,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103762,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.250218,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067462,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25408,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102833,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.254181,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.746706,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4618363,
      "relative_activity": 2.522779,
      "balance": 0.746706,
      "dry_up": 3.559688,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.068814,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.451944,
      "from_high_reference": -0.366477,
      "from_low_reference": 0.467105
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.603372,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.974196,
      "structural_low": 1.52,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.015975,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007476,
        "regime_survival": 0.814815,
        "best_return": 0.113621,
        "worst_return": -0.132979,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.017337,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02143,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.058717,
        "worst_return": -0.20339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.026002,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005521,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.175176,
        "worst_return": -0.239482,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.138193,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034006,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.134779,
        "worst_return": -0.1554,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.061433,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.021448,
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "stage": 4,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.71,
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        "typical_volume": 1223653.1,
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        "fair_value": 2.983167,
        "relative_strength": -42.052387,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -99.248868,
        "energy": 98.969374,
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          2.042,
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          2.323912,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.09,
        "volume": 8385559,
        "typical_volume": 1628630.35,
        "trend": 2.633038,
        "fair_value": 2.978315,
        "relative_strength": -27.288561,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.013044,
        "energy": 70.801656,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.023333,
          2.150012,
          2.287049,
          2.434542
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.23,
        "volume": 4618363,
        "typical_volume": 1830664.6,
        "trend": 2.603372,
        "fair_value": 2.974196,
        "relative_strength": -25.408025,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.01714,
        "energy": 66.430977,
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          2.068667,
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          2.267901,
          2.408539
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}