{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1028ecf7-fa57-4f00-a4fd-4c70a0144ef0", "symbol": "UAMY", "name": "United States Antimony Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.994, "architecture_energy": 68.114, "architecture_maturity": 19.42, "architecture_confidence": 94.778, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.23, "rotation_up": 13.55, "upward_expansion": 15.53, "deceleration": 37.94, "rotation_down": 66.16, "downward_expansion": 88.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.828, 6.233455, 7.271952, 7.761484 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.85, "trend_reference": 8.230667, "distance_from_trend": -0.167747, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.272847, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.092979, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.277256, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.204413, "excess_performance": -0.330038, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.167747, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007056, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.092979, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.836572, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.202773, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.661248, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.204413, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.336786, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26672617, "relative_activity": 0.584079, "balance": 0.336786, "dry_up": 0.598095, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.217855, "annualized_volatility": 0.957898, "from_high_reference": -0.652461, "from_low_reference": 1.008798 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.230667, "fair_value_reference": 3.272847, "structural_low": 4.84, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.028059, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.590909, "median_excess_return": -0.019628, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.46597, "worst_return": -0.220151, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.053572, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.08768, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.627486, "worst_return": -0.365672, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.021062, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.054906, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.335807, "worst_return": -0.526667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.541401, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.005935, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.493243, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.848382, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.185539, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": 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-36.478403, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.071214, "energy": 71.152798, "activity_lines": [ 5.926667, 6.604909, 7.701714, 8.059763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.07, "volume": 24149534, "typical_volume": 48793220.85, "trend": 8.257333, "fair_value": 3.231829, "relative_strength": -38.594056, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.394084, "energy": 78.918974, "activity_lines": [ 5.517333, 6.226909, 7.39219, 7.85228 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.85, "volume": 26672617, "typical_volume": 45666086.15, "trend": 8.230667, "fair_value": 3.272847, "relative_strength": -20.277256, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.994292, "energy": 68.114097, "activity_lines": [ 5.828, 6.233455, 7.271952, 7.761484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }