{ "ticker": { "uuid": "10317abd-9124-417f-a3a5-bcf5727b287e", "symbol": "BKW", "name": "Datapulse Technology Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.892, "architecture_energy": 81.234, "architecture_maturity": 47.297, "architecture_confidence": 92.894, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.25, "rotation_up": 29.99, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 42.76, "downward_expansion": 75.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.101, 0.101, 0.102819, 0.104649 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.101, "trend_reference": 0.106733, "distance_from_trend": -0.053716, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.113577, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.110735, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.557766, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.081818, "excess_performance": -0.236653, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.053716, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02793, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.110735, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065945, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.265578, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043747, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.081818, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10000, "relative_activity": 0.14038, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.060715, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.009139, "annualized_volatility": 0.887295, "from_high_reference": -0.36875, "from_low_reference": 0.020202 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.106733, "fair_value_reference": 0.113577, "structural_low": 0.099, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.433333, "median_excess_return": -0.018955, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.168675, "worst_return": -0.186992, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.043975, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.089475, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.244186, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.068514, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.120607, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.397959, "worst_return": -0.302326, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.07981, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.046759, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.44, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.020408, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.028571, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.04918, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.035714, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.007042, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": 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"fair_value": 0.113378, "relative_strength": -26.848333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.400015, "energy": 50.022562, "activity_lines": [ 0.101, 0.101018, 0.104248, 0.105875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.101, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 73885.0, "trend": 0.107333, "fair_value": 0.113462, "relative_strength": -27.000606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.555565, "energy": 80.048629, "activity_lines": [ 0.101, 0.100927, 0.103729, 0.105447 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.101, "volume": 7300, "typical_volume": 72025.0, "trend": 0.107033, "fair_value": 0.113519, "relative_strength": -26.581563, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.644213, "energy": 80.263557, "activity_lines": [ 0.101, 0.100964, 0.103252, 0.105039 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.101, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 71235.0, "trend": 0.106733, "fair_value": 0.113577, "relative_strength": -26.557766, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.891909, "energy": 81.233611, "activity_lines": [ 0.101, 0.101, 0.102819, 0.104649 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }