{ "ticker": { "uuid": "103c7d66-17bd-415f-a66c-343d09e6eba6", "symbol": "3067", "name": "PNC International Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 54.273, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -41.501, "architecture_energy": 47.417, "architecture_maturity": 6.038, "architecture_confidence": 68.24, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.75, "rotation_up": 17.67, "upward_expansion": 16.13, "deceleration": 45.61, "rotation_down": 66.63, "downward_expansion": 57.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.83, 18.144546, 18.350238, 18.359462 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 17.4, "trend_reference": 18.325, "distance_from_trend": -0.050477, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.678526, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.371354, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.586418, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.036011, "excess_performance": -0.477383, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.050477, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007134, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.371354, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041235, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.335864, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064694, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.036011, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.773495, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5000, "relative_activity": 0.153264, "balance": 1.773495, "dry_up": 0.59773, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048851, "annualized_volatility": 0.342534, "from_high_reference": -0.183099, "from_low_reference": 0.023529 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.325, "fair_value_reference": 27.678526, "structural_low": 17.0, "invalidation": "A 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0.07, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.000377, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.07, "worst_return": 0.07, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-08-25", "end": "2023-09-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.116822, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-09-08", "end": "2024-02-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-04-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.149254, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.175416, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.156716, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.132231, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.045454, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.099744, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.041551, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.015625, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", 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-33.829995, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.283874, "energy": 22.016303, "activity_lines": [ 18.866667, 18.860909, 18.622857, 18.53 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.0, "volume": 11000, "typical_volume": 31492.15, "trend": 18.47, "fair_value": 28.23141, "relative_strength": -30.366435, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.990343, "energy": 12.182776, "activity_lines": [ 18.543334, 18.750909, 18.575476, 18.497742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.0, "volume": 67000, "typical_volume": 33942.15, "trend": 18.418333, "fair_value": 28.095833, "relative_strength": -30.959731, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.724785, "energy": 15.344366, "activity_lines": [ 18.286667, 18.631818, 18.528095, 18.467419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.950001, "volume": 3000, "typical_volume": 33192.15, "trend": 18.385, "fair_value": 27.966667, "relative_strength": -29.335546, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.494597, "energy": 22.455319, "activity_lines": [ 18.113334, 18.490909, 18.479524, 18.437204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.15, "volume": 3000, "typical_volume": 32892.15, "trend": 18.37, "fair_value": 27.823397, "relative_strength": -29.277973, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.550864, "energy": 31.475063, "activity_lines": [ 18.07, 18.373637, 18.452619, 18.422043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.4, "volume": 5000, "typical_volume": 32623.45, "trend": 18.325, "fair_value": 27.678526, "relative_strength": -33.586418, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.500532, "energy": 47.417212, "activity_lines": [ 17.83, 18.144546, 18.350238, 18.359462 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }