{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1040a333-f9f6-4e15-93ba-c66da3eefcfc", "symbol": "HEXATRADEX", "name": "Hexa Tradex Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 78.9, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.715, "architecture_energy": 22.595, "architecture_maturity": 6.831, "architecture_confidence": 81.715, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.54, "rotation_up": 20.67, "upward_expansion": 4.04, "deceleration": 48.14, "rotation_down": 46.79, "downward_expansion": 75.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 158.981336, 159.251275, 161.151525, 161.483549 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 163.320007, "trend_reference": 161.700334, "distance_from_trend": 0.010017, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 185.555963, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.119834, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.787394, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.020878, "excess_performance": 0.064587, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010017, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009782, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.119834, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0322, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.007874, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020492, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.020878, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.562675, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18609, "relative_activity": 1.15506, "balance": 1.562675, "dry_up": 2.208993, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048871, "annualized_volatility": 0.136136, "from_high_reference": -0.161989, "from_low_reference": 0.109059 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 161.700334, "fair_value_reference": 185.555963, "structural_low": 151.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.00991, "positive_rate": 0.419355, "directional_follow_through": 0.580645, "median_excess_return": -0.010908, "regime_survival": 0.870968, "best_return": 0.436777, "worst_return": -0.133358, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.019115, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.048304, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 1.288323, "worst_return": -0.115802, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.041242, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.100602, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.04243, "worst_return": -0.113195, "sufficient": true 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"2026-07-31", "close": 157.380005, "volume": 86944, "typical_volume": 18652.5, "trend": 161.589667, "fair_value": 185.45904, "relative_strength": -3.86839, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.754713, "energy": 46.366991, "activity_lines": [ 156.966001, 158.673637, 160.997525, 161.371915 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 163.320007, "volume": 18609, "typical_volume": 16110.85, "trend": 161.700334, "fair_value": 185.555963, "relative_strength": -0.787394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.714936, "energy": 22.595483, "activity_lines": [ 158.981336, 159.251275, 161.151525, 161.483549 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }