{ "ticker": { "uuid": "104180f3-afdc-40aa-ac80-31f92cce4ffb", "symbol": "SUDARCOLOR", "name": "Sudarshan Colorants India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.202, "architecture_energy": 58.012, "architecture_maturity": 36.256, "architecture_confidence": 84.232, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.79, "rotation_up": 62.45, "upward_expansion": 84.51, "deceleration": 46.81, "rotation_down": 14.71, "downward_expansion": 11.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 383.326662, 375.323632, 368.640236, 360.932149 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 421.049988, "trend_reference": 357.368333, "distance_from_trend": 0.178196, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 493.473719, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.146763, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.109225, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.156731, "excess_performance": 0.20044, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.178196, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08154, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.146763, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088287, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.001092, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.18629, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.156731, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.987083, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 312828, "relative_activity": 5.474452, "balance": 3.987083, "dry_up": 1.766919, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072465, "annualized_volatility": 0.416304, "from_high_reference": -0.307484, "from_low_reference": 0.569618 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 357.368333, "fair_value_reference": 493.473719, "structural_low": 268.25, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.006528, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": 0.002246, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.187598, "worst_return": -0.108395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.031626, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.05862, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.502887, "worst_return": -0.13118, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.073468, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.000133, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.609576, "worst_return": -0.164449, 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357.008278 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 373.850006, "volume": 36210, "typical_volume": 47310.9, "trend": 366.16, "fair_value": 494.607053, "relative_strength": -12.885932, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.107359, "energy": 19.95956, "activity_lines": [ 369.509998, 367.452724, 360.067856, 357.314408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 360.600006, "volume": 33923, "typical_volume": 47144.75, "trend": 362.21, "fair_value": 494.257373, "relative_strength": -13.150846, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.641127, "energy": 14.299529, "activity_lines": [ 367.180001, 366.435453, 361.122857, 356.955699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 361.149994, "volume": 20909, "typical_volume": 45503.7, "trend": 358.355, "fair_value": 493.631732, "relative_strength": -14.344787, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.981726, "energy": 8.318423, "activity_lines": [ 365.169999, 365.251816, 362.113094, 356.887311 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 421.049988, "volume": 312828, "typical_volume": 57143.25, "trend": 357.368333, "fair_value": 493.473719, "relative_strength": -0.109225, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.202361, "energy": 58.011874, "activity_lines": [ 383.326662, 375.323632, 368.640236, 360.932149 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }