{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "10469ab0-9a2b-49cd-bdf7-b5c1820fca44",
    "symbol": "603031",
    "name": "Anhui Anfu Battery Technology Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -20.939,
    "architecture_energy": 33.489,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.082,
    "architecture_confidence": 42.283,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.08,
        "rotation_up": 14.15,
        "upward_expansion": 16.91,
        "deceleration": 65.14,
        "rotation_down": 63.26,
        "downward_expansion": 41.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        39.852001,
        43.864546,
        46.46814,
        44.781098
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 39.900002,
    "trend_reference": 42.37449,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.058396,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 24.984976,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.59696,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 11.944221,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.144843,
    "excess_performance": 0.188047,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058396,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.170645,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.59696,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.560369,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119442,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.468622,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144843,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.02255,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 67244694,
      "relative_activity": 0.938063,
      "balance": 1.02255,
      "dry_up": 1.295671,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.184307,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.563468,
      "from_high_reference": -0.3616,
      "from_low_reference": 1.189685
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 42.37449,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.984976,
      "structural_low": 31.579874,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.004969,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00724,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.365868,
        "worst_return": -0.162996,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.075864,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036038,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.322553,
        "worst_return": -0.109561,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.153786,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.171492,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.771538,
        "worst_return": 0.048542,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.394456,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.470708,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.706556,
        "worst_return": -0.008076,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.32349,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.102654,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018621,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.175572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
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        "return": -0.085326,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.107824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.049849,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.070524,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 70987553.9,
        "trend": 41.898727,
        "fair_value": 24.774867,
        "relative_strength": 10.858497,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.470001,
        "volume": 92964109,
        "typical_volume": 71937226.2,
        "trend": 42.057574,
        "fair_value": 24.87249,
        "relative_strength": 9.219469,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.299247,
        "energy": 33.529237,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.190667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.900002,
        "volume": 67244694,
        "typical_volume": 71684613.6,
        "trend": 42.37449,
        "fair_value": 24.984976,
        "relative_strength": 11.944221,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.938745,
        "energy": 33.489399,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}