{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1063df88-52ce-4e0c-8625-135fbb09dc84", "symbol": "LX", "name": "Lexinfintech Holdings Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.539, "architecture_energy": 83.319, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.538, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.92, "rotation_up": 9.67, "upward_expansion": 19.92, "deceleration": 37.32, "rotation_down": 81.12, "downward_expansion": 97.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.483667, 1.628909, 1.808309, 1.933744 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.46, "trend_reference": 2.129826, "distance_from_trend": -0.314498, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.317544, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.559915, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -59.11053, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.434782, "excess_performance": -0.622236, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.314498, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.182482, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.559915, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.19018, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.591105, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003405, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.434782, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.279673, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5251135, "relative_activity": 0.555081, "balance": 0.279673, "dry_up": 1.311907, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.158588, "annualized_volatility": 0.453712, "from_high_reference": -0.768182, "from_low_reference": 0.039146 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.129826, "fair_value_reference": 3.317544, "structural_low": 1.405, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.077295, "positive_rate": 0.268293, "directional_follow_through": 0.731707, "median_excess_return": -0.089103, "regime_survival": 0.926829, "best_return": 0.264516, "worst_return": -0.387916, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.221662, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": -0.25161, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 1.640289, "worst_return": -0.381679, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.358706, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.296178, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.799019, "worst_return": -0.547651, "sufficient": true 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"relative_strength": -60.513975, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.761296, "energy": 71.714711, "activity_lines": [ 1.839, 1.936, 2.012609, 2.131676 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.54, "volume": 23285970, "typical_volume": 9264496.05, "trend": 2.280382, "fair_value": 3.326611, "relative_strength": -59.109666, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.001236, "energy": 82.011891, "activity_lines": [ 1.714, 1.855182, 1.959379, 2.080698 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.48, "volume": 8613053, "typical_volume": 9447783.4, "trend": 2.224002, "fair_value": 3.322665, "relative_strength": -58.771289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.948521, "energy": 85.622261, "activity_lines": [ 1.607667, 1.773455, 1.905752, 2.02906 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.46, "volume": 12493096, "typical_volume": 9806079.75, "trend": 2.173391, "fair_value": 3.319395, "relative_strength": -58.321518, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.334777, "energy": 86.197313, "activity_lines": [ 1.529333, 1.696636, 1.854816, 1.97977 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.46, "volume": 5251135, "typical_volume": 9460129.9, "trend": 2.129826, "fair_value": 3.317544, "relative_strength": -59.11053, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.539273, "energy": 83.318805, "activity_lines": [ 1.483667, 1.628909, 1.808309, 1.933744 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }