{ "ticker": { "uuid": "10691c99-4333-4eb5-86d7-775ee9887f4f", "symbol": "ALLAN", "name": "Lanson-BCC", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.669, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.716, "architecture_energy": 21.117, "architecture_maturity": 98.915, "architecture_confidence": 65.247, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.67, "rotation_up": 21.2, "upward_expansion": 5.94, "deceleration": 58.34, "rotation_down": 37.35, "downward_expansion": 65.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.686667, 26.754546, 26.858101, 26.938955 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 26.9, "trend_reference": 27.38887, "distance_from_trend": -0.017849, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.182366, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.235412, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.427454, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.074223, "excess_performance": -0.127535, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017849, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057899, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.235412, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013527, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.164275, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010351, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.074223, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.072109, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 784, "relative_activity": 0.455734, "balance": 2.072109, "dry_up": 0.470703, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035459, "annualized_volatility": 0.169095, "from_high_reference": -0.266785, "from_low_reference": 0.057522 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.38887, "fair_value_reference": 35.182366, "structural_low": 25.436823, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.001221, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.020535, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.06579, "worst_return": -0.116279, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.04858, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.068215, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.101093, "worst_return": -0.1477, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.145278, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.109952, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.229508, "worst_return": -0.205882, "sufficient": false }, 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.937569, "energy": 40.965241, "activity_lines": [ 26.453334, 26.88, 26.852773, 27.127002 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.700001, "volume": 915, "typical_volume": 1944.55, "trend": 27.75455, "fair_value": 35.306546, "relative_strength": -15.006678, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.618992, "energy": 39.247875, "activity_lines": [ 26.453334, 26.823637, 26.847848, 27.050742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.700001, "volume": 312, "typical_volume": 1792.9, "trend": 27.57816, "fair_value": 35.242025, "relative_strength": -15.683955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.025536, "energy": 36.459939, "activity_lines": [ 26.513334, 26.772728, 26.844828, 26.982707 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.9, "volume": 784, "typical_volume": 1720.3, "trend": 27.38887, "fair_value": 35.182366, "relative_strength": -16.427454, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.716326, "energy": 21.117339, "activity_lines": [ 26.686667, 26.754546, 26.858101, 26.938955 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }