{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "107a4a3e-dd7c-4434-aadb-eb06166b2673",
    "symbol": "HHH",
    "name": "HSBC S&P 500 UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.908,
    "architecture_energy": 65.823,
    "architecture_maturity": 90.269,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.809,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.71,
        "rotation_up": 52.33,
        "upward_expansion": 82.81,
        "deceleration": 71.42,
        "rotation_down": 29.31,
        "downward_expansion": 11.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        66.5412,
        66.335328,
        65.414167,
        63.939319
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 67.708,
    "trend_reference": 62.192869,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.088678,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 52.881648,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.280369,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.960178,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.151223,
    "excess_performance": 0.097911,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088678,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040834,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.280369,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028392,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049602,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045432,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.151223,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.287425,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14025,
      "relative_activity": 0.750371,
      "balance": 1.287425,
      "dry_up": 0.848013,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017752,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.115502,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007112,
      "from_low_reference": 0.239229
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 62.192869,
      "fair_value_reference": 52.881648,
      "structural_low": 56.023998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.016195,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002559,
        "regime_survival": 0.825,
        "best_return": 0.079724,
        "worst_return": -0.102714,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "positive_rate": 0.785714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017853,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.177258,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.072448,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.045402,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.087261,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.056556,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-11-24",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 10.27897,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 6.909885,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 52.211779,
        "relative_strength": 9.275724,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 26556,
        "typical_volume": 21982.05,
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        "fair_value": 52.378815,
        "relative_strength": 7.83291,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 64.815511,
        "energy": 68.862776,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 66.261002,
        "volume": 11426,
        "typical_volume": 20165.3,
        "trend": 61.722518,
        "fair_value": 52.542144,
        "relative_strength": 7.248614,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.590152,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 65.377998,
        "volume": 11393,
        "typical_volume": 18284.15,
        "trend": 61.944508,
        "fair_value": 52.703341,
        "relative_strength": 3.976986,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.003406,
        "energy": 59.604105,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.046667,
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          64.998,
          63.567481
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 67.708,
        "volume": 14025,
        "typical_volume": 18690.75,
        "trend": 62.192869,
        "fair_value": 52.881648,
        "relative_strength": 4.960178,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.907989,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}