{ "ticker": { "uuid": "109029c5-b2c2-4d19-85a4-1c4207bf1012", "symbol": "STZ", "name": "Constellation Brands, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 81.878, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.502, "architecture_energy": 71.267, "architecture_maturity": 23.906, "architecture_confidence": 89.426, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.34, "rotation_up": 17.87, "upward_expansion": 15.87, "deceleration": 41.37, "rotation_down": 64.66, "downward_expansion": 89.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 2298.15919, 2337.389378, 2421.177539, 2491.477498 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2320.0, "trend_reference": 2574.433455, "distance_from_trend": -0.098831, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3636.999008, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.362111, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.433995, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.175528, "excess_performance": -0.120861, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.098831, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016813, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.362111, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036152, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.12434, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06049, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.175528, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.684768, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 351, "relative_activity": 0.420057, "balance": 1.684768, "dry_up": 1.421434, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042816, "annualized_volatility": 0.25476, "from_high_reference": -0.26774, "from_low_reference": 0.038132 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2574.433455, "fair_value_reference": 3636.999008, 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"direction": -72.878783, "energy": 68.435668, "activity_lines": [ 2363.229882, 2402.041642, 2497.032891, 2550.935008 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2238.752658, "volume": 331, "typical_volume": 1210.65, "trend": 2592.51079, "fair_value": 3666.495862, "relative_strength": -16.447105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.223899, "energy": 87.34844, "activity_lines": [ 2312.48954, 2367.57179, 2465.588574, 2527.597108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2298.689941, "volume": 2304, "typical_volume": 818.35, "trend": 2586.033097, "fair_value": 3651.439162, "relative_strength": -14.072779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.047909, "energy": 80.665108, "activity_lines": [ 2295.382787, 2348.385942, 2441.581857, 2508.640924 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2320.0, "volume": 351, "typical_volume": 835.6, "trend": 2574.433455, "fair_value": 3636.999008, "relative_strength": -12.433995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.502143, "energy": 71.266815, "activity_lines": [ 2298.15919, 2337.389378, 2421.177539, 2491.477498 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }