{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "10993fff-1dba-4401-ae1b-ea3339e25bcd",
    "symbol": "SNOR",
    "name": "SpareBank 1 Nordm\u00f8re",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 90.515,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -24.599,
    "architecture_energy": 48.116,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.873,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.076,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.04,
        "rotation_up": 16.5,
        "upward_expansion": 25.23,
        "deceleration": 50.23,
        "rotation_down": 64.54,
        "downward_expansion": 54.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        178.432,
        179.738182,
        182.610293,
        182.485793
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 179.0,
    "trend_reference": 180.974582,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.010911,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 138.904687,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288653,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.364358,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.054754,
    "excess_performance": -0.07024,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010911,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032023,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288653,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.117684,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073644,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052392,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054754,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.431363,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 856,
      "relative_activity": 0.100651,
      "balance": 0.431363,
      "dry_up": 0.170584,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024976,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.178776,
      "from_high_reference": -0.131068,
      "from_low_reference": 0.187427
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 180.974582,
      "fair_value_reference": 138.904687,
      "structural_low": 168.797701,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.033898,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017071,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.033898,
        "worst_return": 0.033898,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.033898,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02404,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.033898,
        "worst_return": 0.033898,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.033898,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023944,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.033898,
        "worst_return": 0.033898,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.117117,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038767,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.117117,
        "worst_return": 0.117117,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000164,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.305149,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041161,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.060624,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025503,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.059766,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.003486,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.048193,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.02514,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.079787,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.078782,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.040432,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005731,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 103.165245,
        "volume": 9787,
        "typical_volume": 5249.4,
        "trend": 104.602793,
        "fair_value": 103.021743,
        "relative_strength": -4.515023,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.689089,
        "energy": 22.090439,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      },
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        "close": 199.399994,
        "volume": 17608,
        "typical_volume": 8952.8,
        "trend": 171.283739,
        "fair_value": 131.152544,
        "relative_strength": 3.352987,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.483353,
        "energy": 89.237295,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 8972.7,
        "trend": 172.299227,
        "fair_value": 131.721998,
        "relative_strength": -1.529914,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 81.793059,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 186.0,
        "volume": 16201,
        "typical_volume": 9075.25,
        "trend": 173.065415,
        "fair_value": 132.25841,
        "relative_strength": -2.125187,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.347455,
        "energy": 69.506018,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 190.5,
        "volume": 2650,
        "typical_volume": 9113.1,
        "trend": 173.917132,
        "fair_value": 132.839931,
        "relative_strength": -1.95461,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.978788,
        "energy": 46.997717,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 181.479996,
        "volume": 8946,
        "typical_volume": 9264.25,
        "trend": 174.550351,
        "fair_value": 133.341949,
        "relative_strength": -7.561305,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.745435,
        "energy": 25.723102,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 185.0,
        "volume": 12522,
        "typical_volume": 9582.9,
        "trend": 175.359052,
        "fair_value": 133.871951,
        "relative_strength": -3.619584,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.919895,
        "energy": 20.895567,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 186.899994,
        "volume": 2061,
        "typical_volume": 9417.4,
        "trend": 176.31199,
        "fair_value": 134.403292,
        "relative_strength": -2.68201,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.833342,
        "energy": 18.408363,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 183.5,
        "volume": 1305,
        "typical_volume": 8961.25,
        "trend": 177.182566,
        "fair_value": 134.918258,
        "relative_strength": -3.975839,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.624835,
        "energy": 19.21709,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 182.0,
        "volume": 15,
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        "trend": 177.909597,
        "fair_value": 135.42903,
        "relative_strength": -2.598405,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 25.249896,
        "energy": 14.869667,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 182.979996,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8611.65,
        "trend": 178.731237,
        "fair_value": 135.951504,
        "relative_strength": 0.446791,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.597243,
        "energy": 11.149417,
        "activity_lines": [
          183.479998,
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          185.271661,
          182.725394
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 181.960007,
        "volume": 27630,
        "typical_volume": 9936.9,
        "trend": 179.329259,
        "fair_value": 136.456598,
        "relative_strength": -2.341311,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 8.397245,
        "energy": 11.353313,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.774668,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 181.0,
        "volume": 4195,
        "typical_volume": 9805.8,
        "trend": 179.863678,
        "fair_value": 136.955539,
        "relative_strength": -2.250517,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.321483,
        "energy": 12.230364,
        "activity_lines": [
          181.952001,
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          183.041492
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 178.0,
        "volume": 355,
        "typical_volume": 9018.55,
        "trend": 180.140081,
        "fair_value": 137.44067,
        "relative_strength": -4.995248,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -9.504964,
        "energy": 29.983968,
        "activity_lines": [
          180.522668,
          182.02,
          184.265542,
          182.921255
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 177.520004,
        "volume": 3054,
        "typical_volume": 9064.55,
        "trend": 180.369515,
        "fair_value": 137.928144,
        "relative_strength": -7.499267,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.357146,
        "energy": 45.767547,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.300002,
          180.963274,
          183.658834,
          182.752217
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 177.979996,
        "volume": 1538,
        "typical_volume": 8916.9,
        "trend": 180.74006,
        "fair_value": 138.418567,
        "relative_strength": -7.605432,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.815808,
        "energy": 50.25427,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.529334,
          180.226182,
          183.093137,
          182.598055
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 179.0,
        "volume": 856,
        "typical_volume": 8504.6,
        "trend": 180.974582,
        "fair_value": 138.904687,
        "relative_strength": -7.364358,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.598848,
        "energy": 48.115548,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.432,
          179.738182,
          182.610293,
          182.485793
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}