{ "ticker": { "uuid": "109fbd8e-ac28-4d42-9054-c5c32a7a350b", "symbol": "MONTECARLO", "name": "Monte Carlo Fashions Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -75.009, "architecture_energy": 68.84, "architecture_maturity": 9.198, "architecture_confidence": 82.775, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.68, "rotation_up": 11.88, "upward_expansion": 16.19, "deceleration": 34.49, "rotation_down": 75.23, "downward_expansion": 89.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 520.590002, 533.633638, 543.261906, 543.827635 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 499.700012, "trend_reference": 549.105, "distance_from_trend": -0.089974, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 637.25897, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.21586, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.934607, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.15577, "excess_performance": -0.11206, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089974, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095669, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.21586, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110865, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.159346, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154628, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.15577, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.082002, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 865946, "relative_activity": 5.230624, "balance": 0.082002, "dry_up": 2.084639, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055795, "annualized_volatility": 0.270314, "from_high_reference": -0.419595, "from_low_reference": 0.07694 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 549.105, "fair_value_reference": 637.25897, 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"activity_lines": [ 543.359998, 547.191818, 549.86881, 549.60043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 520.5, "volume": 207805, "typical_volume": 127072.45, "trend": 552.795, "fair_value": 638.477388, "relative_strength": -11.868113, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.742378, "energy": 50.13129, "activity_lines": [ 534.226664, 542.006363, 547.595476, 547.253118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 499.700012, "volume": 865946, "typical_volume": 165553.1, "trend": 549.105, "fair_value": 637.25897, "relative_strength": -15.934607, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.009336, "energy": 68.840462, "activity_lines": [ 520.590002, 533.633638, 543.261906, 543.827635 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }