{ "ticker": { "uuid": "10a936da-fe78-4d3a-bfd8-ea499869d742", "symbol": "9591", "name": "View United Real Estate Development Co.", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.248, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -32.961, "architecture_energy": 14.222, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.524, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.38, "rotation_up": 26.68, "upward_expansion": 18.64, "deceleration": 42.69, "rotation_down": 32.3, "downward_expansion": 57.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.411333, 2.404545, 2.406333, 2.424108 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.4, "trend_reference": 2.478333, "distance_from_trend": -0.031607, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.182045, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.245768, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.956955, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.120879, "excess_performance": -0.08905, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031607, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06313, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.245768, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018964, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.09957, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073229, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.120879, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.348721, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 82989, "relative_activity": 1.986426, "balance": 0.348721, "dry_up": 1.188154, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033974, "annualized_volatility": 0.22635, "from_high_reference": -0.25, "from_low_reference": 0.048035 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.478333, "fair_value_reference": 3.182045, "structural_low": 2.29, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.022204, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.011746, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.051064, "worst_return": -0.117216, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.068904, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.032199, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.006421, "worst_return": -0.124138, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.129338, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.111589, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.069021, "worst_return": -0.189655, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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2.395333, 2.397455, 2.412095, 2.460968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.4, "volume": 12421, "typical_volume": 46672.8, "trend": 2.532667, "fair_value": 3.205339, "relative_strength": -11.323033, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.152671, "energy": 32.937845, "activity_lines": [ 2.392667, 2.398182, 2.409619, 2.451118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.39, "volume": 32891, "typical_volume": 43837.7, "trend": 2.519667, "fair_value": 3.199254, "relative_strength": -10.59142, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.73899, "energy": 32.748168, "activity_lines": [ 2.388667, 2.397091, 2.407429, 2.441914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.37, "volume": 49318, "typical_volume": 39298.9, "trend": 2.505333, "fair_value": 3.193112, "relative_strength": -11.509942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.107888, "energy": 35.666107, "activity_lines": [ 2.380667, 2.392545, 2.403286, 2.432258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.47, "volume": 33357, "typical_volume": 39085.4, "trend": 2.491, "fair_value": 3.187795, "relative_strength": -5.621715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.786285, "energy": 11.324273, "activity_lines": [ 2.41, 2.405636, 2.408286, 2.429978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.4, "volume": 82989, "typical_volume": 41778.05, "trend": 2.478333, "fair_value": 3.182045, "relative_strength": -9.956955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.960501, "energy": 14.221698, "activity_lines": [ 2.411333, 2.404545, 2.406333, 2.424108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }