{ "ticker": { "uuid": "10bbf894-5e57-4c20-b86b-33be406ee5c0", "symbol": "BYKE", "name": "The Byke Hospitality Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.848, "architecture_energy": 30.742, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 64.014, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.31, "rotation_up": 24.26, "upward_expansion": 14.53, "deceleration": 64.13, "rotation_down": 43.78, "downward_expansion": 66.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.802, 33.761818, 34.620238, 35.785333 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 33.619999, "trend_reference": 38.717, "distance_from_trend": -0.131648, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 63.112948, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.467304, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.746236, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.352839, "excess_performance": -0.30913, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.131648, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156119, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.467304, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068373, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.297462, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05594, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.352839, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.736541, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 92728, "relative_activity": 0.301831, "balance": 0.736541, "dry_up": 0.32927, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081385, "annualized_volatility": 0.659036, "from_high_reference": -0.56184, "from_low_reference": 0.280762 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.717, "fair_value_reference": 63.112948, "structural_low": 26.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.012327, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": -0.017644, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.311151, "worst_return": -0.318973, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.036135, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.009498, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.161335, "worst_return": -0.326758, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.036394, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.07315, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.087912, "worst_return": -0.463603, 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 33.41, "volume": 94221, "typical_volume": 412065.4, "trend": 40.664333, "fair_value": 63.156731, "relative_strength": -32.858217, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.020521, "energy": 53.278603, "activity_lines": [ 33.579334, 34.029818, 35.071047, 37.001785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.439999, "volume": 76273, "typical_volume": 403306.8, "trend": 40.015, "fair_value": 63.134231, "relative_strength": -32.118709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.250916, "energy": 56.460154, "activity_lines": [ 33.135333, 33.669091, 34.768, 36.471183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.16, "volume": 141409, "typical_volume": 371450.85, "trend": 39.395666, "fair_value": 63.128846, "relative_strength": -27.14136, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.222338, "energy": 34.679449, "activity_lines": [ 33.776, 33.846909, 34.76519, 36.157957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.619999, "volume": 92728, "typical_volume": 307217.85, "trend": 38.717, "fair_value": 63.112948, "relative_strength": -29.746236, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.847966, "energy": 30.741576, "activity_lines": [ 33.802, 33.761818, 34.620238, 35.785333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }