{ "ticker": { "uuid": "10c7ec6f-1393-404c-8eb0-52410733ee91", "symbol": "EDYOU", "name": "edyoutec AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.762, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -32.447, "architecture_energy": 20.508, "architecture_maturity": 25.994, "architecture_confidence": 58.523, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.55, "rotation_up": 19.01, "upward_expansion": 14.22, "deceleration": 56.65, "rotation_down": 42.25, "downward_expansion": 59.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.314267, 0.323945, 0.311967, 0.333946 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.322, "trend_reference": 0.385567, "distance_from_trend": -0.164866, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.803372, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.599189, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -46.436647, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.466887, "excess_performance": -0.528382, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.164866, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.229688, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.599189, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087783, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.464366, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171953, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.466887, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.83368, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1979148, "relative_activity": 1.082929, "balance": 3.83368, "dry_up": 1.33871, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.268514, "annualized_volatility": 0.770322, "from_high_reference": -0.660338, "from_low_reference": 0.694737 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.385567, "fair_value_reference": 0.803372, "structural_low": 0.19, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.096552, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.089179, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.251908, "worst_return": -0.320988, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.22177, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.278605, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": -0.464093, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.360465, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.587852, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.203704, "worst_return": -0.552124, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.342282, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.504433, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.193822, "worst_return": -0.490741, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-12-08", "end": "2023-12-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-22", "end": "2024-01-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-01-19", "end": "2024-01-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-02-02", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.188209, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.355346, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.28871, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.139706, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.208333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.159322, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.466667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.254582, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.479167, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.114187, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.175, "volume": 2049386, "typical_volume": 884542.95, "trend": 2.335467, "fair_value": 15.109667, "relative_strength": -79.168677, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.964699, "energy": 34.916436, "activity_lines": [ 1.1176, 1.009673, 1.222081, 1.673574 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 1.2, "volume": 3179407, "typical_volume": 1040125.15, "trend": 2.269467, "fair_value": 14.982055, "relative_strength": -77.628242, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.296723, "energy": 26.867431, "activity_lines": [ 1.1712, 1.048782, 1.184919, 1.600318 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 1.01, "volume": 1382914, "typical_volume": 1105120.65, "trend": 2.216133, "fair_value": 14.855036, "relative_strength": -80.368193, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.799102, "energy": 30.328745, "activity_lines": [ 1.137333, 1.053345, 1.138138, 1.519062 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 0.95, "volume": 759455, "typical_volume": 1139587.35, "trend": 2.054467, "fair_value": 14.729766, 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0.362168 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.289, "volume": 3036329, "typical_volume": 1616730.1, "trend": 0.421333, "fair_value": 0.817756, "relative_strength": -52.8422, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.189563, "energy": 14.244101, "activity_lines": [ 0.337333, 0.320691, 0.315252, 0.352914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.317, "volume": 3318325, "typical_volume": 1753056.25, "trend": 0.4125, "fair_value": 0.815314, "relative_strength": -47.954016, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.526441, "energy": 9.905489, "activity_lines": [ 0.328533, 0.323527, 0.313905, 0.346183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3, "volume": 1452642, "typical_volume": 1795900.95, "trend": 0.399167, "fair_value": 0.809, "relative_strength": -50.187691, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.507559, "energy": 18.459568, "activity_lines": [ 0.3162, 0.322436, 0.31161, 0.338925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.322, "volume": 1979148, "typical_volume": 1827588.75, "trend": 0.385567, "fair_value": 0.803372, "relative_strength": -46.436647, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.446876, "energy": 20.507501, "activity_lines": [ 0.314267, 0.323945, 0.311967, 0.333946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }