{ "ticker": { "uuid": "10ccefdb-5c5f-4754-8151-ba75b5b68ffc", "symbol": "CTOS", "name": "Custom Truck One Source Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.562, "architecture_energy": 27.226, "architecture_maturity": 67.561, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.4, "rotation_up": 29.78, "upward_expansion": 60.73, "deceleration": 90.93, "rotation_down": 26.56, "downward_expansion": 15.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.434, 10.561455, 10.198238, 9.491656 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 10.42, "trend_reference": 8.571, "distance_from_trend": 0.215727, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.83992, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.784271, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 25.138432, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.516739, "excess_performance": 0.391115, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.215727, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.220071, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.784271, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040293, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.251384, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151595, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.516739, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.148165, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6594749, "relative_activity": 1.307707, "balance": 2.148165, "dry_up": 1.155543, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114452, "annualized_volatility": 0.532996, "from_high_reference": -0.147997, "from_low_reference": 1.011583 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.571, "fair_value_reference": 5.83992, "structural_low": 5.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.27234, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.204435, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.293035, "worst_return": 0.251645, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.853618, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.69932, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.853618, "worst_return": 0.853618, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.063107, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.274583, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.194215, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.251645, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.242563, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.026601, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 5.48, "volume": 1491855, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 5.82, "volume": 2448698, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 5.79, "volume": 4110629, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 5.65, "volume": 2637777, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 5.18, "volume": 2696510, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 5.12, "volume": 2954408, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 4.17, "volume": 5107250, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 4.53, "volume": 5865267, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 4.83, "volume": 3605081, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 4.59, "volume": 3063550, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 4.77, "volume": 2129487, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 4.68, "volume": 2809560, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 4.27, "volume": 2800256, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 4.42, "volume": 2225147, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 4.35, "volume": 3375856, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 4.18, "volume": 2624938, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 4.51, "volume": 3363808, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 4.72, "volume": 4218687, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 5.17, "volume": 2165518, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 4.07, "volume": 4267424, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 4.11, "volume": 4155090, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 4.43, "volume": 2284438, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 4.5, "volume": 2665799, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 4.1, "volume": 2119318, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 3.7, "volume": 5077499, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 3.73, "volume": 3967434, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 3.71, "volume": 2612278, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 3.6, "volume": 1946946, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 3.35, "volume": 2480656, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 3.42, "volume": 3078329, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 3.37, "volume": 2648926, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 3.24, "volume": 1584513, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 4.03, "volume": 3967768, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 5.02, "volume": 4118529, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 5.09, "volume": 3035891, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 5.72, "volume": 3007331, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 5.98, "volume": 2748561, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 5.69, "volume": 2361377, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 5.19, "volume": 3190274, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 4.93, "volume": 4475053, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 4.72, "volume": 1447213, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 4.87, "volume": 2165817, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 4.5, "volume": 2832455, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 4.76, "volume": 3574983, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 5.25, "volume": 6167348, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 5.09, "volume": 5653826, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 5.06, "volume": 3495109, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 5.02, "volume": 2166317, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 4.62, "volume": 1829365, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 4.43, "volume": 2024278, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 4.92, "volume": 6659340, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 4.67, "volume": 3192766, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 4.79, "volume": 2874182, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 4.45, "volume": 2706714, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 3.52, "volume": 3452654, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 3.41, "volume": 4732462, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 3.8, "volume": 5286459, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 4.34, "volume": 5607289, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 4.1, "volume": 4669798, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 4.33, "volume": 3648822, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 4.72, "volume": 2724569, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 4.31, "volume": 1538893, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 4.3, "volume": 1018923, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 4.66, "volume": 2256685, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 4.64, "volume": 1946111, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 4.75, "volume": 1671082, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 5.04, "volume": 4716845, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 5.14, "volume": 2852178, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 5.15, "volume": 2524561, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 5.58, "volume": 6167564, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 5.96, "volume": 3971862, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 6.16, "volume": 5914405, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 5.7, "volume": 4632818, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 5.89, "volume": 2674646, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 6.03, "volume": 2218170, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 6.14, "volume": 2674868, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 6.09, "volume": 2179754, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 5.71, "volume": 6384747, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 5.78, "volume": 3014174, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 6.18, "volume": 3509416, "typical_volume": 3229613.55, "trend": 5.008667, "fair_value": 4.772375, "relative_strength": 14.105637, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.988095, "energy": 37.085953, "activity_lines": [ 5.964667, 5.964727, 5.712333, 5.386882 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 6.52, "volume": 3582411, "typical_volume": 3272505.65, "trend": 5.062, "fair_value": 4.793951, "relative_strength": 17.993221, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.110368, "energy": 46.041408, "activity_lines": [ 6.144667, 6.065818, 5.819333, 5.484387 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 6.14, "volume": 5397467, "typical_volume": 3465434.35, "trend": 5.111, "fair_value": 4.810366, "relative_strength": 12.968671, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.868257, "energy": 40.854877, "activity_lines": [ 6.172667, 6.087636, 5.881571, 5.553935 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 6.38, "volume": 4299170, "typical_volume": 3629446.7, "trend": 5.164, "fair_value": 4.829277, "relative_strength": 14.379662, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.049794, "energy": 48.685146, "activity_lines": [ 6.277333, 6.153455, 5.957952, 5.635806 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 6.61, "volume": 2716090, "typical_volume": 3652416.95, "trend": 5.236, "fair_value": 4.850476, "relative_strength": 15.172068, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.204203, "energy": 58.136445, "activity_lines": [ 6.414, 6.248727, 6.046333, 5.729097 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 5.89, "volume": 6057665, "typical_volume": 3857994.65, "trend": 5.315, "fair_value": 4.862706, "relative_strength": 1.559054, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.328085, "energy": 35.854411, "activity_lines": [ 6.255333, 6.2, 6.056857, 5.77129 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 5.76, "volume": 2546767, "typical_volume": 3901778.9, "trend": 5.393333, "fair_value": 4.87314, "relative_strength": 0.938291, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.661671, "energy": 22.475713, "activity_lines": [ 6.072667, 6.130182, 6.049048, 5.8 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 5.79, "volume": 2318210, "typical_volume": 3781847.15, "trend": 5.459667, "fair_value": 4.883678, "relative_strength": 1.359835, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.112453, "energy": 15.363677, "activity_lines": [ 5.950667, 6.072727, 6.039286, 5.825591 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 5.39, "volume": 5612966, "typical_volume": 3919886.55, "trend": 5.494667, "fair_value": 4.889432, "relative_strength": -3.458669, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -6.025278, "energy": 19.405266, "activity_lines": [ 5.718667, 5.948, 5.987857, 5.821097 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 6.39, "volume": 2867848, "typical_volume": 3937050.9, "trend": 5.571, "fair_value": 4.906292, "relative_strength": 10.546977, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.282849, "energy": 17.828531, "activity_lines": [ 5.886, 6.010909, 6.030476, 5.87886 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 6.11, "volume": 3248377, "typical_volume": 3791091.55, "trend": 5.630333, "fair_value": 4.919667, "relative_strength": 5.483705, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.290861, "energy": 10.033629, "activity_lines": [ 5.974667, 6.011818, 6.040524, 5.913634 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 6.13, "volume": 3291344, "typical_volume": 3757065.65, "trend": 5.677333, "fair_value": 4.932967, "relative_strength": 6.366951, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.002823, "energy": 14.89288, "activity_lines": [ 6.055333, 6.017636, 6.049952, 5.945871 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 5.96, "volume": 4635200, "typical_volume": 3693105.4, "trend": 5.732333, "fair_value": 4.94413, "relative_strength": 3.217515, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.842592, "energy": 18.967942, "activity_lines": [ 6.054667, 5.999636, 6.042381, 5.964108 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 5.97, "volume": 2925433, "typical_volume": 3607736.15, "trend": 5.788, "fair_value": 4.955161, "relative_strength": 1.791203, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.317323, "energy": 13.893618, "activity_lines": [ 6.046, 5.986727, 6.036714, 5.979441 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 5.8, "volume": 2177386, "typical_volume": 3582873.15, "trend": 5.826, "fair_value": 4.964149, "relative_strength": -0.111455, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.410937, "energy": 5.398969, "activity_lines": [ 5.942, 5.950364, 6.013571, 5.980215 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 6.23, "volume": 6774965, "typical_volume": 3810712.9, "trend": 5.879, "fair_value": 4.977474, "relative_strength": 5.338988, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.846894, "energy": 12.622503, "activity_lines": [ 6.020667, 6.006909, 6.03181, 6.00628 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 6.28, "volume": 3994510, "typical_volume": 3876695.0, "trend": 5.93, "fair_value": 4.991042, "relative_strength": 6.309457, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.840193, "energy": 19.859728, "activity_lines": [ 6.108, 6.066364, 6.053857, 6.032151 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 6.34, "volume": 2846212, "typical_volume": 3910017.9, "trend": 5.973333, "fair_value": 5.004948, "relative_strength": 7.591558, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.975398, "energy": 29.829763, "activity_lines": [ 6.205333, 6.127273, 6.080952, 6.058602 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 6.32, "volume": 3669304, "typical_volume": 3774245.75, "trend": 6.012667, "fair_value": 5.018367, "relative_strength": 6.689085, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.387677, "energy": 41.085679, "activity_lines": [ 6.270667, 6.174545, 6.104952, 6.080968 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 6.87, "volume": 4777642, "typical_volume": 3862419.15, "trend": 6.07, "fair_value": 5.037071, "relative_strength": 15.82928, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.269584, "energy": 61.153234, "activity_lines": [ 6.496, 6.304909, 6.178429, 6.13628 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 7.26, "volume": 4623599, "typical_volume": 3918128.3, "trend": 6.126, "fair_value": 5.0593, "relative_strength": 23.356714, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.349948, "energy": 73.249308, "activity_lines": [ 6.78, 6.497455, 6.283857, 6.213054 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 7.54, "volume": 3681595, "typical_volume": 3923087.5, "trend": 6.178667, "fair_value": 5.083861, "relative_strength": 25.805558, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.217962, "energy": 81.791648, "activity_lines": [ 7.088667, 6.72, 6.41081, 6.30428 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 7.16, "volume": 4092959, "typical_volume": 3857862.1, "trend": 6.212, "fair_value": 5.104216, "relative_strength": 19.300406, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.758451, "energy": 78.758993, "activity_lines": [ 7.186667, 6.847818, 6.496714, 6.367591 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 6.41, "volume": 3418275, "typical_volume": 3813817.35, "trend": 6.235667, "fair_value": 5.116893, "relative_strength": 8.752875, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.08335, "energy": 64.127121, "activity_lines": [ 6.98, 6.817455, 6.506333, 6.380366 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 5.85, "volume": 6829953, "typical_volume": 4019510.5, "trend": 6.234333, "fair_value": 5.123942, "relative_strength": 0.667178, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.095796, "energy": 16.414491, "activity_lines": [ 6.580667, 6.677273, 6.462476, 6.355484 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 6.08, "volume": 4844238, "typical_volume": 3958839.15, "trend": 6.236, "fair_value": 5.133048, "relative_strength": 6.360881, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.90911, "energy": 19.730122, "activity_lines": [ 6.326, 6.578, 6.444143, 6.345527 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 6.46, "volume": 2803007, "typical_volume": 3971651.15, "trend": 6.246667, "fair_value": 5.145566, "relative_strength": 15.065006, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.653228, "energy": 25.693168, "activity_lines": [ 6.276667, 6.550545, 6.461095, 6.359978 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 6.59, "volume": 2467991, "typical_volume": 3979140.2, "trend": 6.263333, "fair_value": 5.159065, "relative_strength": 12.754335, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.419613, "energy": 22.411338, "activity_lines": [ 6.342667, 6.543455, 6.487095, 6.382129 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 7.26, "volume": 4091617, "typical_volume": 3903072.75, "trend": 6.315, "fair_value": 5.178519, "relative_strength": 18.814659, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.904233, "energy": 28.317142, "activity_lines": [ 6.67, 6.653636, 6.573095, 6.44643 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 7.61, "volume": 3403722, "typical_volume": 3929866.45, "trend": 6.376, "fair_value": 5.200826, "relative_strength": 18.298235, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.569964, "energy": 61.227053, "activity_lines": [ 7.057333, 6.810364, 6.683524, 6.529978 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 8.74, "volume": 5108674, "typical_volume": 4022881.3, "trend": 6.461333, "fair_value": 5.233, "relative_strength": 33.927084, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.607263, "energy": 85.072025, "activity_lines": [ 7.704, 7.159091, 6.895762, 6.682495 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 10.1, "volume": 10583397, "typical_volume": 4387483.95, "trend": 6.580667, "fair_value": 5.276847, "relative_strength": 51.195357, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.071624, "energy": 97.141752, "activity_lines": [ 8.626667, 7.728182, 7.225, 6.917247 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 9.7, "volume": 6542566, "typical_volume": 4482852.25, "trend": 6.699333, "fair_value": 5.316339, "relative_strength": 40.297964, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.70605, "energy": 94.087513, "activity_lines": [ 9.173333, 8.178, 7.497238, 7.118495 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 9.84, "volume": 5414507, "typical_volume": 4607305.95, "trend": 6.814667, "fair_value": 5.356372, "relative_strength": 40.503066, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.315187, "energy": 92.032163, "activity_lines": [ 9.559333, 8.607091, 7.765, 7.321118 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 9.23, "volume": 3638081, "typical_volume": 4680340.7, "trend": 6.902, "fair_value": 5.390351, "relative_strength": 29.375646, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.083044, "energy": 87.711191, "activity_lines": [ 9.57, 8.862909, 7.956238, 7.476946 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 9.58, "volume": 3581296, "typical_volume": 4520657.25, "trend": 7.025, "fair_value": 5.426783, "relative_strength": 30.966303, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.024371, "energy": 73.223504, "activity_lines": [ 9.589333, 9.120909, 8.164476, 7.64972 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 9.68, "volume": 3454035, "typical_volume": 4493633.5, "trend": 7.155667, "fair_value": 5.463448, "relative_strength": 34.325347, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.966437, "energy": 64.539134, "activity_lines": [ 9.586, 9.333455, 8.366286, 7.821011 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 10.66, "volume": 5104966, "typical_volume": 4606571.2, "trend": 7.318, "fair_value": 5.507863, "relative_strength": 45.226006, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.384096, "energy": 69.543614, "activity_lines": [ 9.937333, 9.665636, 8.645238, 8.047097 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 11.27, "volume": 4196651, "typical_volume": 4632938.55, "trend": 7.514, "fair_value": 5.556695, "relative_strength": 50.082923, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.748016, "energy": 72.073438, "activity_lines": [ 10.428, 10.034727, 8.961714, 8.302065 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 11.94, "volume": 7344445, "typical_volume": 4761278.7, "trend": 7.699, "fair_value": 5.610336, "relative_strength": 60.394841, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.148735, "energy": 83.814424, "activity_lines": [ 11.046667, 10.452727, 9.318429, 8.587613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 10.04, "volume": 4297438, "typical_volume": 4744970.65, "trend": 7.83, "fair_value": 5.64725, "relative_strength": 30.739036, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.046163, "energy": 62.173153, "activity_lines": [ 10.851333, 10.446545, 9.470048, 8.738645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.55, "volume": 5517796, "typical_volume": 4836780.7, "trend": 7.977333, "fair_value": 5.687769, "relative_strength": 34.122436, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.558698, "energy": 56.958968, "activity_lines": [ 10.795333, 10.509455, 9.657, 8.914129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.34, "volume": 4133664, "typical_volume": 4838815.95, "trend": 8.123333, "fair_value": 5.725902, "relative_strength": 32.312902, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.887774, "energy": 47.002638, "activity_lines": [ 10.611333, 10.526, 9.809619, 9.066559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.86, "volume": 3730594, "typical_volume": 4854431.9, "trend": 8.286333, "fair_value": 5.767642, "relative_strength": 38.460178, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.637059, "energy": 37.006942, "activity_lines": [ 10.622, 10.625455, 9.996619, 9.243118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.15, "volume": 8850549, "typical_volume": 4955461.7, "trend": 8.431333, "fair_value": 5.802984, "relative_strength": 27.182314, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.208138, "energy": 31.961423, "activity_lines": [ 10.423333, 10.577273, 10.09481, 9.363355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.42, "volume": 6594749, "typical_volume": 5042987.25, "trend": 8.571, "fair_value": 5.83992, "relative_strength": 25.138432, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.562372, "energy": 27.226069, "activity_lines": [ 10.434, 10.561455, 10.198238, 9.491656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }