{ "ticker": { "uuid": "10d15ccd-0589-45d5-aead-7f9b8b8173d4", "symbol": "HIBS", "name": "DIREXION DAILY S&P 500 HIGH BETA BEAR 3X ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.942, "architecture_energy": 40.82, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.56, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.94, "rotation_up": 27.79, "upward_expansion": 23.17, "deceleration": 46.93, "rotation_down": 37.07, "downward_expansion": 61.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.303333, 20.892831, 22.724819, 27.078791 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 19.02, "trend_reference": 32.517756, "distance_from_trend": -0.415089, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 167.382731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.886368, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -62.232455, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.542975, "excess_performance": -0.668599, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.415089, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.243987, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.886368, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015938, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.622325, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03095, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.542975, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.883877, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 896442, "relative_activity": 0.986468, "balance": 0.883877, "dry_up": 1.423021, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.217098, "annualized_volatility": 0.750094, "from_high_reference": -0.772636, "from_low_reference": 0.119592 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.517756, "fair_value_reference": 167.382731, 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.191788, "energy": 79.014454, "activity_lines": [ 19.387888, 20.589172, 25.836717, 30.346592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.9, "volume": 1193816, "typical_volume": 3506605.1, "trend": 34.914893, "fair_value": 173.009059, "relative_strength": -56.531659, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.653308, "energy": 60.29772, "activity_lines": [ 20.554398, 20.772684, 25.004559, 29.517915 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.65, "volume": 1130433, "typical_volume": 822575.95, "trend": 34.117515, "fair_value": 171.346249, "relative_strength": -55.665954, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.530427, "energy": 48.685401, "activity_lines": [ 21.474333, 20.953724, 24.236305, 28.726632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.86, "volume": 1951925, "typical_volume": 892805.6, "trend": 33.304017, "fair_value": 169.433832, "relative_strength": -54.422407, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.966228, "energy": 39.696609, "activity_lines": [ 22.149333, 21.254934, 23.602623, 28.000341 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.02, "volume": 896442, "typical_volume": 908738.8, "trend": 32.517756, "fair_value": 167.382731, "relative_strength": -62.232455, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.942126, "energy": 40.820466, "activity_lines": [ 21.303333, 20.892831, 22.724819, 27.078791 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }