{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1108e239-1c89-48d8-9c05-9fcf958557cc", "symbol": "1451", "name": "Nien Hsing Textile Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 49.427, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.091, "architecture_energy": 57.798, "architecture_maturity": 11.927, "architecture_confidence": 67.815, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.86, "rotation_up": 68.15, "upward_expansion": 87.31, "deceleration": 44.41, "rotation_down": 11.69, "downward_expansion": 11.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.52, 17.389091, 17.166709, 17.114582 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 17.450001, "trend_reference": 17.039477, "distance_from_trend": 0.024093, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.304698, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.008397, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.317861, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.062748, "excess_performance": -0.378624, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.024093, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017452, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.008397, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020776, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.263179, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07005, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.062748, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.281944, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 583616, "relative_activity": 0.670295, "balance": 1.281944, "dry_up": 0.7329, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026008, "annualized_volatility": 0.123991, "from_high_reference": -0.022409, "from_low_reference": 0.114119 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.039477, "fair_value_reference": 17.304698, "structural_low": 16.299999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.012369, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.025854, "regime_survival": 0.526316, "best_return": 0.064718, "worst_return": -0.152381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.042677, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.082422, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.289253, "worst_return": -0.214679, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.012477, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.086752, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.017656, "worst_return": -0.09976, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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17.210909, 17.06046, 17.03415 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.75, "volume": 571213, "typical_volume": 874900.1, "trend": 17.000402, "fair_value": 17.305063, "relative_strength": -23.406756, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.625732, "energy": 68.351488, "activity_lines": [ 17.516667, 17.338182, 17.129686, 17.085576 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.450001, "volume": 583616, "typical_volume": 870685.25, "trend": 17.039477, "fair_value": 17.304698, "relative_strength": -26.317861, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.09075, "energy": 57.798206, "activity_lines": [ 17.52, 17.389091, 17.166709, 17.114582 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }