{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "11122b16-aeb7-4f81-bda7-16cabd5470f2",
    "symbol": "6525",
    "name": "GEM Services, Inc.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 29.493,
    "architecture_energy": 25.915,
    "architecture_maturity": 78.547,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.587,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.3,
        "rotation_up": 19.25,
        "upward_expansion": 53.57,
        "deceleration": 93.99,
        "rotation_down": 34.2,
        "downward_expansion": 19.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        137.6,
        147.7,
        140.226606,
        127.426826
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 138.0,
    "trend_reference": 110.901966,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.244342,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 72.238461,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.91034,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.941562,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.809374,
    "excess_performance": 0.463642,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244342,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.318797,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.91034,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205346,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109416,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118809,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.809374,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.032247,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13309810,
      "relative_activity": 1.243829,
      "balance": 3.032247,
      "dry_up": 1.099214,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.175246,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.650535,
      "from_high_reference": -0.308271,
      "from_low_reference": 1.025685
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 110.901966,
      "fair_value_reference": 72.238461,
      "structural_low": 71.766105,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.008862,
        "positive_rate": 0.5625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027641,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.098613,
        "worst_return": -0.112438,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.037478,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027059,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.340996,
        "worst_return": -0.098508,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.039051,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.099166,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.329114,
        "worst_return": -0.109453,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.002009,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041784,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.297086,
        "worst_return": -0.264007,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003082,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.134707,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.09648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.120383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.113354,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013177,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008955,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.024024,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 8995953.75,
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        "fair_value": 70.702069,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 44.633419,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 135.5,
        "volume": 12946569,
        "typical_volume": 9566217.7,
        "trend": 106.329692,
        "fair_value": 71.181225,
        "relative_strength": 11.89287,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.951892,
        "energy": 26.720598,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 145.0,
        "volume": 10790458,
        "typical_volume": 10064272.35,
        "trend": 108.751659,
        "fair_value": 71.724578,
        "relative_strength": 15.228288,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.558251,
        "energy": 29.658548,
        "activity_lines": [
          139.433333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 138.0,
        "volume": 13309810,
        "typical_volume": 10700678.95,
        "trend": 110.901966,
        "fair_value": 72.238461,
        "relative_strength": 10.941562,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.493182,
        "energy": 25.915073,
        "activity_lines": [
          137.6,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}