{ "ticker": { "uuid": "112a7025-a48d-4fa3-8d70-9f99bd3de751", "symbol": "9546", "name": "Naba Al Saha Medical Services Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.275, "architecture_energy": 60.909, "architecture_maturity": 16.093, "architecture_confidence": 84.854, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.32, "rotation_up": 11.83, "upward_expansion": 12.32, "deceleration": 40.51, "rotation_down": 69.72, "downward_expansion": 87.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.613333, 21.166545, 22.156809, 22.468645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 20.629999, "trend_reference": 22.951833, "distance_from_trend": -0.101161, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.220472, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.378997, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.031073, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.140417, "excess_performance": -0.108587, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.101161, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075604, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.378997, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087509, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.180311, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014312, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.140417, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.934409, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1918, "relative_activity": 0.10638, "balance": 0.934409, "dry_up": 0.373523, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077035, "annualized_volatility": 0.505434, "from_high_reference": -0.379549, "from_low_reference": 0.028415 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.951833, "fair_value_reference": 33.220472, 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"fair_value": 33.310179, "relative_strength": -15.883101, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.720722, "energy": 40.336794, "activity_lines": [ 22.517334, 23.188546, 23.192119, 23.36972 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 20.6, "volume": 30476, "typical_volume": 28489.6, "trend": 23.672667, "fair_value": 33.289657, "relative_strength": -20.426309, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.718607, "energy": 68.045364, "activity_lines": [ 21.706667, 22.662546, 22.944667, 23.156645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 21.379999, "volume": 12940, "typical_volume": 24841.7, "trend": 23.477, "fair_value": 33.279848, "relative_strength": -16.093226, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.098608, "energy": 65.413179, "activity_lines": [ 21.513333, 22.311636, 22.799952, 23.008731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.629999, "volume": 3170, "typical_volume": 21155.7, "trend": 23.257167, "fair_value": 33.258846, "relative_strength": -18.947784, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.53654, "energy": 71.125216, "activity_lines": [ 21.111333, 21.862363, 22.593952, 22.825054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.200001, "volume": 8910, "typical_volume": 18023.0, "trend": 23.097167, "fair_value": 33.239345, "relative_strength": -18.427452, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.042099, "energy": 72.442483, "activity_lines": [ 20.724, 21.444364, 22.353476, 22.627817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.629999, "volume": 1918, "typical_volume": 18029.7, "trend": 22.951833, "fair_value": 33.220472, "relative_strength": -18.031073, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.274918, "energy": 60.90851, "activity_lines": [ 20.613333, 21.166545, 22.156809, 22.468645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }