{ "ticker": { "uuid": "112b6223-d859-45ae-9126-df2c5e8b3462", "symbol": "CU2", "name": "Amundi PEA MSCI USA ESG Selection UCITS ETF - EUR", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.372, "architecture_energy": 57.433, "architecture_maturity": 65.216, "architecture_confidence": 69.112, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.67, "rotation_up": 47.18, "upward_expansion": 72.5, "deceleration": 85.5, "rotation_down": 27.95, "downward_expansion": 22.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 816.089991, 817.945264, 803.190705, 780.645087 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 832.849976, "trend_reference": 755.278658, "distance_from_trend": 0.102706, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 658.780128, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.264231, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.915511, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.176558, "excess_performance": 0.005666, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102706, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04954, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.264231, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048868, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019155, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00173, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.176558, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.644419, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 476, "relative_activity": 0.719468, "balance": 5.644419, "dry_up": 0.41906, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019047, "annualized_volatility": 0.13507, "from_high_reference": -0.005624, "from_low_reference": 0.268197 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 755.278658, "fair_value_reference": 658.780128, "structural_low": 664.76001, "invalidation": "A 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816.393807, 793.78937, 771.970506 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 802.52002, "volume": 162, "typical_volume": 662.65, "trend": 751.973993, "fair_value": 656.777692, "relative_strength": -2.714142, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.392162, "energy": 51.869226, "activity_lines": [ 810.861996, 814.498176, 797.294944, 775.427282 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 832.849976, "volume": 476, "typical_volume": 661.6, "trend": 755.278658, "fair_value": 658.780128, "relative_strength": -1.915511, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.372055, "energy": 57.433027, "activity_lines": [ 816.089991, 817.945264, 803.190705, 780.645087 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }