{ "ticker": { "uuid": "113416a9-dcba-4cb9-8d2f-4d4deedf33fa", "symbol": "ALNG", "name": "Awilco LNG ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 85.757, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.957, "architecture_energy": 47.413, "architecture_maturity": 6.341, "architecture_confidence": 72.12, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.39, "rotation_up": 63.63, "upward_expansion": 84.92, "deceleration": 44.74, "rotation_down": 11.41, "downward_expansion": 9.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.692, 3.599455, 3.536976, 3.51829 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.64, "trend_reference": 3.452667, "distance_from_trend": 0.054258, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.803524, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.242223, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.368306, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.302326, "excess_performance": 0.177332, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054258, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007686, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.242223, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042641, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.063683, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006157, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.302326, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.903532, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 546485, "relative_activity": 0.582906, "balance": 0.903532, "dry_up": 0.772279, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093829, "annualized_volatility": 0.809221, "from_high_reference": -0.366957, "from_low_reference": 0.447316 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.452667, "fair_value_reference": 4.803524, "structural_low": 2.515, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.007587, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.02896, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.583026, "worst_return": -0.270697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.073147, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.07279, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.860465, "worst_return": -0.425432, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.176444, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.129351, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.483722, "worst_return": -0.370272, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.976807, "energy": 20.915627, "activity_lines": [ 3.538667, 3.446364, 3.481667, 3.460796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.67, "volume": 511424, "typical_volume": 1392601.55, "trend": 3.418333, "fair_value": 4.839033, "relative_strength": -5.299662, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.332253, "energy": 31.760599, "activity_lines": [ 3.603333, 3.494727, 3.492357, 3.477538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.85, "volume": 1371720, "typical_volume": 1117311.2, "trend": 3.44, "fair_value": 4.821786, "relative_strength": -0.905451, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.025286, "energy": 51.728167, "activity_lines": [ 3.700667, 3.570545, 3.524548, 3.505387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.64, "volume": 546485, "typical_volume": 937517.8, "trend": 3.452667, "fair_value": 4.803524, "relative_strength": -6.368306, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.956501, "energy": 47.413043, "activity_lines": [ 3.692, 3.599455, 3.536976, 3.51829 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }