{ "ticker": { "uuid": "113621f2-0276-44ba-a7db-0636c33ec5be", "symbol": "3050", "name": "Global X China Global Leaders ETF", "exchange": "HKG", "country": "HK", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^HSI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.687, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.071, "architecture_energy": 20.645, "architecture_maturity": 48.083, "architecture_confidence": 87.201, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.17, "rotation_up": 29.03, "upward_expansion": 53.62, "deceleration": 90.44, "rotation_down": 27.89, "downward_expansion": 19.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.976, 57.948727, 57.995048, 57.158022 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 59.5, "trend_reference": 56.304667, "distance_from_trend": 0.056751, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.322692, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.284468, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.955283, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.101444, "excess_performance": 0.135025, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056751, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01611, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.284468, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01872, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.059553, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005512, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.101444, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.679105, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2350, "relative_activity": 0.153701, "balance": 0.679105, "dry_up": 2.607558, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033536, "annualized_volatility": 0.193115, "from_high_reference": -0.044023, "from_low_reference": 0.199597 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.304667, "fair_value_reference": 46.322692, "structural_low": 50.040001, "invalidation": "A decisive 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"trend": 56.024667, "fair_value": 45.995769, "relative_strength": 4.260436, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.180894, "energy": 19.230337, "activity_lines": [ 57.306667, 58.016727, 57.544762, 56.752903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 57.439999, "volume": 58700, "typical_volume": 15634.1, "trend": 56.114, "fair_value": 46.09718, "relative_strength": 5.651064, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.803755, "energy": 20.690822, "activity_lines": [ 57.152, 57.828, 57.648571, 56.844215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.66, "volume": 10500, "typical_volume": 15544.4, "trend": 56.182, "fair_value": 46.196154, "relative_strength": 2.101297, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.010526, "energy": 14.857491, "activity_lines": [ 57.250666, 57.709091, 57.745905, 56.943957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.5, "volume": 2350, "typical_volume": 15289.4, "trend": 56.304667, "fair_value": 46.322692, "relative_strength": 5.955283, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.071214, "energy": 20.644898, "activity_lines": [ 57.976, 57.948727, 57.995048, 57.158022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }