{ "ticker": { "uuid": "113941f6-6647-4019-a17e-d0a623c22738", "symbol": "000555", "name": "Digital China Information Service Group Company Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.0, "architecture_energy": 55.241, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 66.989, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.18, "rotation_up": 27.33, "upward_expansion": 21.9, "deceleration": 66.87, "rotation_down": 47.54, "downward_expansion": 71.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.551333, 10.512182, 11.532517, 12.712067 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 10.9, "trend_reference": 14.294757, "distance_from_trend": -0.237483, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.453109, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.124717, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.000085, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.32581, "excess_performance": -0.33321, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.237483, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134593, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.124717, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.298678, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.290001, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086813, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.32581, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.78608, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 156912980, "relative_activity": 1.276604, "balance": 0.78608, "dry_up": 1.345682, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096534, "annualized_volatility": 0.471927, "from_high_reference": -0.52634, "from_low_reference": 0.174569 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.294757, "fair_value_reference": 12.453109, "structural_low": 9.28, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.007838, "positive_rate": 0.590909, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": 0.018308, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.375, "worst_return": -0.175436, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.053533, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.060343, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.508918, "worst_return": -0.258437, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.005224, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.047468, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.662636, "worst_return": -0.199832, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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13.47577 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.13, "volume": 198087645, "typical_volume": 132681804.1, "trend": 14.667238, "fair_value": 12.456316, "relative_strength": -32.371334, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.828691, "energy": 82.513839, "activity_lines": [ 9.968667, 10.512182, 11.918606, 13.17077 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.14, "volume": 200424557, "typical_volume": 128084439.8, "trend": 14.482666, "fair_value": 12.454843, "relative_strength": -24.087843, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.24775, "energy": 63.978583, "activity_lines": [ 10.319333, 10.508909, 11.721308, 12.943207 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.9, "volume": 156912980, "typical_volume": 122914330.25, "trend": 14.294757, "fair_value": 12.453109, "relative_strength": -29.000085, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.999899, "energy": 55.240604, "activity_lines": [ 10.551333, 10.512182, 11.532517, 12.712067 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }