{ "ticker": { "uuid": "115b4c5b-7a9e-47a9-bce9-98dd78f183ee", "symbol": "TDG", "name": "TransDigm Group Incorporated", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 68.992, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 10.24, "architecture_energy": 19.103, "architecture_maturity": 68.793, "architecture_confidence": 52.118, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.52, "rotation_up": 22.36, "upward_expansion": 35.74, "deceleration": 67.3, "rotation_down": 40.42, "downward_expansion": 22.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 21937.983073, 22136.572585, 21704.613411, 21612.746405 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 21665.949219, "trend_reference": 21735.410677, "distance_from_trend": -0.003196, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22954.502629, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.056135, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.880768, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.006149, "excess_performance": 0.048518, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.003196, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036429, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.056135, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051723, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.078808, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.193582, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.006149, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.181572, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 174, "relative_activity": 3.625, "balance": 0.181572, "dry_up": 0.9375, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02368, "annualized_volatility": 0.242912, "from_high_reference": -0.165314, "from_low_reference": 0.088413 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21735.410677, "fair_value_reference": 22954.502629, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 22000.0, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 43.95, "trend": 21912.133789, "fair_value": 22819.410864, "relative_strength": -8.569343, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.356342, "energy": 64.577655, "activity_lines": [ 22554.733333, 22132.755611, 21556.248651, 21606.608602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22000.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 41.35, "trend": 21856.93776, "fair_value": 22865.155236, "relative_strength": -7.292465, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.090333, "energy": 43.921376, "activity_lines": [ 22393.866667, 22188.663991, 21612.302325, 21612.27739 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22000.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 40.2, "trend": 21801.741732, "fair_value": 22910.899608, "relative_strength": -7.077482, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.859192, "energy": 27.002138, "activity_lines": [ 22182.0, 22210.181818, 21673.753144, 21621.507212 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21665.949219, "volume": 174, "typical_volume": 48.0, "trend": 21735.410677, "fair_value": 22954.502629, "relative_strength": -7.880768, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.239746, "energy": 19.102603, "activity_lines": [ 21937.983073, 22136.572585, 21704.613411, 21612.746405 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }