{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "115c3226-ad59-45a5-a20a-dc3c6ef02ee9",
    "symbol": "8917",
    "name": "Hsin Tai Gas Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 60.391,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 21.159,
    "architecture_energy": 17.484,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.441,
    "architecture_confidence": 46.726,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.34,
        "rotation_up": 52.02,
        "upward_expansion": 44.15,
        "deceleration": 28.11,
        "rotation_down": 21.14,
        "downward_expansion": 14.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        52.86,
        52.647495,
        51.902979,
        52.032956
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 53.299999,
    "trend_reference": 52.553796,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.014199,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 56.337396,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.053914,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -31.363717,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.030478,
    "excess_performance": -0.47185,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014199,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023102,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053914,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04854,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.313637,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077607,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030478,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.514141,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15000,
      "relative_activity": 0.156587,
      "balance": 0.514141,
      "dry_up": 0.365663,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0394,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.279793,
      "from_high_reference": -0.19976,
      "from_low_reference": 0.078923
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 52.553796,
      "fair_value_reference": 56.337396,
      "structural_low": 49.401114,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.017094,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065486,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.011513,
        "worst_return": -0.163492,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.054798,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.133233,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.026316,
        "worst_return": -0.173016,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.101142,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.318476,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.036184,
        "worst_return": -0.155271,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.088585,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.374546,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.088585,
        "worst_return": -0.088585,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.017054,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.047244,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.006651,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.031826,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006525,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.022764,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003378,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.03,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05812,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.103175,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.04529,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.060094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005693,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026975,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
        "close": 58.103523,
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        "typical_volume": 56350.0,
        "trend": 65.974381,
        "fair_value": 63.175755,
        "relative_strength": -25.67574,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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      },
      {
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      {
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 54.0,
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        "typical_volume": 255389.8,
        "trend": 53.038259,
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        "relative_strength": -34.494765,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 253134.2,
        "trend": 52.920759,
        "fair_value": 56.507158,
        "relative_strength": -31.104301,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -5.810053,
        "energy": 17.566289,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 47100,
        "typical_volume": 197709.6,
        "trend": 52.819667,
        "fair_value": 56.468747,
        "relative_strength": -31.360294,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.220446,
        "energy": 26.134927,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 60012,
        "typical_volume": 125855.55,
        "trend": 52.688315,
        "fair_value": 56.414655,
        "relative_strength": -31.008434,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.273912,
        "energy": 20.271418,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 53.0,
        "volume": 18000,
        "typical_volume": 107849.55,
        "trend": 52.609648,
        "fair_value": 56.373345,
        "relative_strength": -30.31983,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.326011,
        "energy": 21.72348,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.733334,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 53.299999,
        "volume": 15000,
        "typical_volume": 95793.2,
        "trend": 52.553796,
        "fair_value": 56.337396,
        "relative_strength": -31.363717,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.158815,
        "energy": 17.484042,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}