{ "ticker": { "uuid": "116e7d7b-5786-4623-ac88-8108a212e59e", "symbol": "PLPC", "name": "Preformed Line Products Company", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.736, "architecture_energy": 36.737, "architecture_maturity": 40.238, "architecture_confidence": 63.693, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.06, "rotation_up": 45.03, "upward_expansion": 72.15, "deceleration": 70.52, "rotation_down": 27.52, "downward_expansion": 8.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 379.795333, 371.495217, 363.562079, 345.475862 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 466.82, "trend_reference": 319.294797, "distance_from_trend": 0.462034, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 179.988822, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.593606, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 52.432758, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.665976, "excess_performance": 0.478523, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.462034, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.195476, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.593606, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.467286, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.524328, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.188431, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.665976, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.869374, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 656958, "relative_activity": 1.077298, "balance": 1.869374, "dry_up": 0.856746, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115214, "annualized_volatility": 0.542591, "from_high_reference": -0.060723, "from_low_reference": 1.944312 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 319.294797, "fair_value_reference": 179.988822, "structural_low": 222.829427, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.118559, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.027805, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.239846, "worst_return": -0.057376, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.181389, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.207699, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.496463, "worst_return": -0.243391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.256001, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.204447, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.765653, "worst_return": -0.205618, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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303.383157, "fair_value": 175.896484, "relative_strength": 15.495038, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.572229, "energy": 20.32485, "activity_lines": [ 353.598866, 362.059794, 351.417419, 331.705767 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 311.22, "volume": 340778, "typical_volume": 622883.35, "trend": 306.67686, "fair_value": 176.786431, "relative_strength": 10.488695, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.607478, "energy": 17.465077, "activity_lines": [ 335.865265, 352.56058, 349.465096, 332.21137 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 356.98, "volume": 708310, "typical_volume": 611204.75, "trend": 311.523518, "fair_value": 178.040093, "relative_strength": 24.587007, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.412051, "energy": 20.446971, "activity_lines": [ 338.241333, 352.036543, 351.510536, 335.456734 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 466.82, "volume": 656958, "typical_volume": 609820.0, "trend": 319.294797, "fair_value": 179.988822, "relative_strength": 52.432758, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.735746, "energy": 36.736879, "activity_lines": [ 379.795333, 371.495217, 363.562079, 345.475862 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }