{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1170b6e6-88cf-4e7b-ace7-c8a2043d69f5",
    "symbol": "WOOD",
    "name": "iShares Global Timber & Forestry UCITS ETF USD (Dist)",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 69.392,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 21.766,
    "architecture_energy": 34.029,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.253,
    "architecture_confidence": 51.17,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.55,
        "rotation_up": 50.35,
        "upward_expansion": 35.61,
        "deceleration": 44.17,
        "rotation_down": 16.75,
        "downward_expansion": 46.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 1833.0,
    "trend_reference": 1794.815867,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.021275,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2006.76957,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.086592,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.979053,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.0589,
    "excess_performance": -0.110135,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021275,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013705,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.086592,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06505,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069791,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056646,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0589,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.506056,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 32957,
      "relative_activity": 1.33772,
      "balance": 2.506056,
      "dry_up": 1.770671,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026273,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.200462,
      "from_high_reference": -0.118411,
      "from_low_reference": 0.12939
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1794.815867,
      "fair_value_reference": 2006.76957,
      "structural_low": 1623.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.014942,
        "positive_rate": 0.769231,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.230769,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001877,
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        "best_return": 0.061838,
        "worst_return": -0.091944,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "worst_return": -0.107865,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "trend": 1794.815867,
        "fair_value": 2006.76957,
        "relative_strength": -6.979053,
        "stage": 1,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}