{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "11780f2a-adaa-44b1-8221-565e76847e12",
    "symbol": "ASPINWALL",
    "name": "Aspinwall and Company Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 63.552,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.009,
    "architecture_energy": 23.477,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.375,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.44,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.65,
        "rotation_up": 41.42,
        "upward_expansion": 67.43,
        "deceleration": 60.21,
        "rotation_down": 20.56,
        "downward_expansion": 8.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        241.360541,
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        234.036163
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 239.410004,
    "trend_reference": 227.728405,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.051296,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 257.152878,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.068997,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.824396,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.125788,
    "excess_performance": 0.169497,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051296,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001393,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068997,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056874,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008244,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034427,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125788,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.60716,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8770,
      "relative_activity": 0.637132,
      "balance": 1.60716,
      "dry_up": 1.291355,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.069551,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.269122,
      "from_high_reference": -0.201434,
      "from_low_reference": 0.195556
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 227.728405,
      "fair_value_reference": 257.152878,
      "structural_low": 200.25,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.057667,
        "positive_rate": 0.294118,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.294118,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035812,
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        "worst_return": -0.230068,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.088681,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.099029,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.251724,
        "worst_return": -0.277352,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.09763,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.210152,
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        "worst_return": -0.196752,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "best_return": 0.184807,
        "worst_return": -0.098667,
        "sufficient": true
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.053315,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "return": 0.084469,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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        "end": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 14191.4,
        "trend": 226.892738,
        "fair_value": 256.989953,
        "relative_strength": 4.915857,
        "stage": 1,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 250.399994,
        "volume": 6509,
        "typical_volume": 14001.6,
        "trend": 227.509071,
        "fair_value": 257.042137,
        "relative_strength": 8.266294,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.599944,
        "energy": 44.037746,
        "activity_lines": [
          246.043478,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 233.570007,
        "volume": 9489,
        "typical_volume": 13832.05,
        "trend": 227.259738,
        "fair_value": 257.039298,
        "relative_strength": -1.101478,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.347341,
        "energy": 28.562793,
        "activity_lines": [
          242.602821,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 239.410004,
        "volume": 8770,
        "typical_volume": 13764.8,
        "trend": 227.728405,
        "fair_value": 257.152878,
        "relative_strength": 0.824396,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.009297,
        "energy": 23.477097,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}