{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "11802501-3d41-4bd4-88fa-b609720814b4",
    "symbol": "NOK",
    "name": "Nokia Corp ADR",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 89.174,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -27.345,
    "architecture_energy": 47.371,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.001,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.08,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.61,
        "rotation_up": 14.1,
        "upward_expansion": 22.08,
        "deceleration": 55.24,
        "rotation_down": 68.91,
        "downward_expansion": 49.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.535714,
        10.714589,
        11.815357,
        11.283907
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 9.36,
    "trend_reference": 10.257691,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.087514,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.407965,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.73078,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.30366,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.329389,
    "excess_performance": 0.203764,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.087514,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213717,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.73078,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.010827,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023037,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.782507,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.329389,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.757911,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 325973158,
      "relative_activity": 0.664162,
      "balance": 0.757911,
      "dry_up": 1.003617,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.213699,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.613633,
      "from_high_reference": -0.46361,
      "from_low_reference": 1.32635
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.257691,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.407965,
      "structural_low": 6.853108,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.013145,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027375,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.00647,
        "worst_return": -0.032759,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.206072,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.122555,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.471174,
        "worst_return": -0.05903,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.176954,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.11832,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.588009,
        "worst_return": -0.234101,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.503756,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.308049,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.143954,
        "worst_return": -0.136442,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.163267,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.152835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.024048,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.040462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042569,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.266667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.209224,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018461,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.862241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.261527,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 479835247.05,
        "trend": 10.069938,
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        "relative_strength": 5.514803,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.14,
        "volume": 498818731,
        "typical_volume": 489133244.3,
        "trend": 10.159653,
        "fair_value": 5.37084,
        "relative_strength": 4.371849,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.67249,
        "energy": 38.313562,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.36,
        "volume": 325973158,
        "typical_volume": 490804023.6,
        "trend": 10.257691,
        "fair_value": 5.407965,
        "relative_strength": 2.30366,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.344535,
        "energy": 47.370863,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}