{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "118305ee-de9e-47c1-a397-8ed73de45456",
    "symbol": "MTL",
    "name": "Mullen Group Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.207,
    "architecture_energy": 88.321,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.007,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.97,
        "rotation_up": 78.59,
        "upward_expansion": 95.32,
        "deceleration": 44.67,
        "rotation_down": 8.08,
        "downward_expansion": 21.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.848693,
        25.156839,
        23.438108,
        21.930274
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 26.549999,
    "trend_reference": 20.067124,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.32306,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.288289,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.858165,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 36.021099,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.545181,
    "excess_performance": 0.42476,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.32306,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179977,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.858165,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.28951,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.360211,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105387,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.545181,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.313266,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1163700,
      "relative_activity": 1.011649,
      "balance": 1.313266,
      "dry_up": 1.626641,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052177,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.32376,
      "from_high_reference": -0.075121,
      "from_low_reference": 1.072402
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.067124,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.288289,
      "structural_low": 15.675043,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.001376,
        "positive_rate": 0.482759,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.482759,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003063,
        "regime_survival": 0.724138,
        "best_return": 0.182491,
        "worst_return": -0.083096,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.029998,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03468,
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        "best_return": 0.446261,
        "worst_return": -0.12574,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.00309,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.054922,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.194256,
        "worst_return": -0.136466,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.055101,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012362,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.129758,
        "worst_return": 3.2e-05,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
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        "return": 0.017692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.0,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": 25.386455,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1135460.0,
        "trend": 18.893542,
        "fair_value": 14.01344,
        "relative_strength": 39.723391,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.046843,
        "energy": 71.837297,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 28.656574,
        "volume": 1760200,
        "typical_volume": 1145515.0,
        "trend": 19.321017,
        "fair_value": 14.110849,
        "relative_strength": 54.244587,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.758556,
        "energy": 96.000961,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.188148,
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          22.293324,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.530001,
        "volume": 2356000,
        "typical_volume": 1184470.0,
        "trend": 19.716127,
        "fair_value": 14.202628,
        "relative_strength": 47.068107,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.017446,
        "energy": 94.44509,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.391226,
          24.62343,
          22.940058,
          21.489379
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.549999,
        "volume": 1163700,
        "typical_volume": 1150300.0,
        "trend": 20.067124,
        "fair_value": 14.288289,
        "relative_strength": 36.021099,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.206733,
        "energy": 88.321497,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}