{ "ticker": { "uuid": "11899680-f04c-4286-bb8b-d1e653a73af7", "symbol": "CVBF", "name": "CVB Financial Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.993, "architecture_energy": 52.173, "architecture_maturity": 47.303, "architecture_confidence": 76.001, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.44, "rotation_up": 59.76, "upward_expansion": 81.09, "deceleration": 62.2, "rotation_down": 19.74, "downward_expansion": 7.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.571333, 22.351446, 21.607738, 21.082229 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.66, "trend_reference": 20.533047, "distance_from_trend": 0.103587, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.126169, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.250126, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.032385, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.068241, "excess_performance": -0.119212, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.103587, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051128, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.250126, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083737, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.000324, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118072, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.068241, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.046939, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6666188, "relative_activity": 0.797019, "balance": 1.046939, "dry_up": 0.893512, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046196, "annualized_volatility": 0.216519, "from_high_reference": -0.030173, "from_low_reference": 0.289001 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.533047, "fair_value_reference": 18.126169, "structural_low": 18.143909, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.014457, "positive_rate": 0.64, "directional_follow_through": 0.64, "median_excess_return": -0.006055, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.215361, "worst_return": -0.093641, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.00165, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.045511, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.328174, "worst_return": -0.097189, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.039545, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.080443, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.244912, "worst_return": -0.066562, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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74.798894, "energy": 81.015228, "activity_lines": [ 22.123716, 21.46136, 20.818153, 20.470818 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.82, "volume": 7012028, "typical_volume": 8364595.3, "trend": 20.175207, "fair_value": 18.018739, "relative_strength": 4.654839, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.256754, "energy": 84.944257, "activity_lines": [ 22.463341, 21.794018, 21.063419, 20.649359 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.56, "volume": 8715893, "typical_volume": 8540685.75, "trend": 20.287834, "fair_value": 18.057552, "relative_strength": 5.149138, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.896542, "energy": 78.345662, "activity_lines": [ 22.597746, 22.034131, 21.265898, 20.803217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.37, "volume": 7498855, "typical_volume": 8550069.25, "trend": 20.417485, "fair_value": 18.09076, "relative_strength": 3.677856, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.084519, "energy": 62.301122, "activity_lines": [ 22.539846, 22.184788, 21.431986, 20.93755 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.66, "volume": 6666188, "typical_volume": 8363897.95, "trend": 20.533047, "fair_value": 18.126169, "relative_strength": -0.032385, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.992574, "energy": 52.173225, "activity_lines": [ 22.571333, 22.351446, 21.607738, 21.082229 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }