{ "ticker": { "uuid": "118d6a1e-ab5f-4aa6-a7d4-c878df6f2b88", "symbol": "600211", "name": "Tibet Rhodiola Pharmaceutical Holding Co.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.76, "architecture_energy": 14.525, "architecture_maturity": 85.588, "architecture_confidence": 59.087, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.45, "rotation_up": 29.99, "upward_expansion": 19.69, "deceleration": 43.26, "rotation_down": 22.84, "downward_expansion": 53.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.587334, 38.095636, 38.452819, 39.110817 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 39.560001, "trend_reference": 40.080052, "distance_from_trend": -0.012975, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.41409, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.086393, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.566219, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.046662, "excess_performance": -0.003458, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012975, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039057, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.086393, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041477, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.055662, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039571, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.046662, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.291662, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18793386, "relative_activity": 1.254225, "balance": 1.291662, "dry_up": 1.628891, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059487, "annualized_volatility": 0.215073, "from_high_reference": -0.302837, "from_low_reference": 0.132875 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.080052, "fair_value_reference": 36.41409, "structural_low": 34.919998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.009538, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.009608, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.156417, "worst_return": -0.114895, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.045538, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.041794, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.146873, "worst_return": -0.083338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.132144, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.152218, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.631804, "worst_return": -0.312366, "sufficient": true }, { 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37.863999, 37.73163, 38.698389, 39.452847 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.220001, "volume": 24543418, "typical_volume": 15117409.05, "trend": 40.233905, "fair_value": 36.390865, "relative_strength": -8.528065, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.695411, "energy": 23.131038, "activity_lines": [ 37.77, 37.566727, 38.475568, 39.2491 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.68, "volume": 17540790, "typical_volume": 15097704.05, "trend": 40.149489, "fair_value": 36.398753, "relative_strength": -5.290734, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.393111, "energy": 19.268203, "activity_lines": [ 38.134667, 37.742181, 38.412298, 39.148848 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.560001, "volume": 18793386, "typical_volume": 14984066.0, "trend": 40.080052, "fair_value": 36.41409, "relative_strength": -5.566219, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.759987, "energy": 14.525342, "activity_lines": [ 38.587334, 38.095636, 38.452819, 39.110817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }