{ "ticker": { "uuid": "11ae3dae-fb84-4225-9feb-8b2aee74c2df", "symbol": "A1GI34", "name": "Agilent Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 68.055, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.604, "architecture_energy": 59.981, "architecture_maturity": 56.074, "architecture_confidence": 54.56, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.63, "rotation_up": 49.15, "upward_expansion": 76.26, "deceleration": 75.93, "rotation_down": 25.0, "downward_expansion": 9.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.032802, 68.961314, 65.907411, 64.432547 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 72.260002, "trend_reference": 64.255719, "distance_from_trend": 0.124569, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 68.59135, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.053486, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.097507, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.065547, "excess_performance": 0.122595, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.124569, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044081, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.053486, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.202785, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.010975, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.289735, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.065547, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.479397, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 75, "relative_activity": 0.028569, "balance": 9.479397, "dry_up": 4.892867, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034974, "annualized_volatility": 0.373016, "from_high_reference": -0.11681, "from_low_reference": 0.319502 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.255719, "fair_value_reference": 68.59135, "structural_low": 54.763107, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.021182, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.042603, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.158133, "worst_return": -0.041505, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.103109, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.065564, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.168824, "worst_return": -0.034519, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.018784, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.099699, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.189505, "worst_return": -0.14113, "sufficient": false }, { 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.12729, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.045981, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.033426, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": 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"direction": 30.538129, "energy": 71.361558, "activity_lines": [ 68.998976, 66.921031, 63.403561, 63.469748 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 68.723999, "volume": 46580, "typical_volume": 2389.0, "trend": 65.162794, "fair_value": 68.421933, "relative_strength": -5.706586, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.268151, "energy": 54.80521, "activity_lines": [ 68.808678, 67.739184, 64.087086, 63.685912 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 66.912003, "volume": 4725, "typical_volume": 2625.25, "trend": 64.837275, "fair_value": 68.472522, "relative_strength": -7.926863, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.110402, "energy": 45.176313, "activity_lines": [ 68.088754, 68.033644, 64.55707, 63.798764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.912003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2622.75, "trend": 64.511092, "fair_value": 68.514795, "relative_strength": -9.459794, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.877086, "energy": 34.488616, "activity_lines": [ 67.564002, 68.107215, 64.994713, 63.932617 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 72.260002, "volume": 75, "typical_volume": 2625.25, "trend": 64.255719, "fair_value": 68.59135, "relative_strength": 1.097507, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.603921, "energy": 59.980706, "activity_lines": [ 69.032802, 68.961314, 65.907411, 64.432547 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }