{ "ticker": { "uuid": "11b75d95-43a5-4a04-a888-57b2eddd953a", "symbol": "LPG", "name": "Dorian LPG Ltd", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.469, "architecture_energy": 68.01, "architecture_maturity": 21.833, "architecture_confidence": 84.176, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.77, "rotation_up": 70.98, "upward_expansion": 87.74, "deceleration": 45.8, "rotation_down": 12.77, "downward_expansion": 16.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.720241, 42.224366, 41.093606, 39.325435 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 45.76, "trend_reference": 36.669129, "distance_from_trend": 0.247916, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.536062, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.603585, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.453983, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.480157, "excess_performance": 0.354532, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.247916, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184799, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.603585, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124699, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.27454, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007906, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.480157, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.347546, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3534438, "relative_activity": 1.182094, "balance": 1.347546, "dry_up": 1.054855, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104215, "annualized_volatility": 0.575767, "from_high_reference": -0.049044, "from_low_reference": 1.015281 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.669129, "fair_value_reference": 28.536062, "structural_low": 28.226183, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": 0.028604, "positive_rate": 0.527778, "directional_follow_through": 0.527778, "median_excess_return": 0.012243, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.300832, "worst_return": -0.172108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.129009, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.090996, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.47059, "worst_return": -0.119305, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.301487, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.255197, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.537235, "worst_return": -0.281025, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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35.218334, "fair_value": 28.19281, "relative_strength": 31.209661, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.68954, "energy": 32.579752, "activity_lines": [ 40.344533, 40.10221, 39.523331, 37.909236 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.42, "volume": 3193401, "typical_volume": 2977824.6, "trend": 36.01058, "fair_value": 28.365183, "relative_strength": 37.548796, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.70433, "energy": 59.78665, "activity_lines": [ 43.214485, 41.322925, 40.432635, 38.69644 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.76, "volume": 3534438, "typical_volume": 2989979.7, "trend": 36.669129, "fair_value": 28.536062, "relative_strength": 27.453983, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.46875, "energy": 68.010184, "activity_lines": [ 44.720241, 42.224366, 41.093606, 39.325435 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }