{ "ticker": { "uuid": "11d34e0b-6541-4fc3-92a6-481582246131", "symbol": "HSH", "name": "Global X S&P 500 CAD Hedged Index Corporate Class ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.156, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.054, "architecture_energy": 53.147, "architecture_maturity": 64.821, "architecture_confidence": 66.319, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.79, "rotation_up": 51.27, "upward_expansion": 81.21, "deceleration": 66.51, "rotation_down": 28.25, "downward_expansion": 7.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 91.273333, 90.968727, 90.188857, 88.465505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 93.150002, "trend_reference": 86.551667, "distance_from_trend": 0.076236, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 72.268846, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288937, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.958804, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.106952, "excess_performance": -0.013469, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076236, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030504, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.288937, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002834, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019588, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00448, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.106952, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.835381, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1700, "relative_activity": 0.168567, "balance": 0.835381, "dry_up": 1.115518, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020868, "annualized_volatility": 0.144807, "from_high_reference": -0.009464, "from_low_reference": 0.213049 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 86.551667, "fair_value_reference": 72.268846, "structural_low": 76.790001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.012833, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.005825, "regime_survival": 0.794872, "best_return": 0.054948, "worst_return": -0.065443, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.042278, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.002732, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.115296, "worst_return": -0.055095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.076235, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.01574, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.162688, "worst_return": -0.167948, "sufficient": true }, { 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67.001608, "energy": 57.126456, "activity_lines": [ 90.943334, 90.686909, 88.719191, 87.180925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 90.309998, "volume": 22600, "typical_volume": 11865.0, "trend": 85.851333, "fair_value": 71.57891, "relative_strength": -2.512892, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.303048, "energy": 52.400893, "activity_lines": [ 90.805333, 90.656909, 89.084286, 87.484107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 89.510002, "volume": 6600, "typical_volume": 11670.0, "trend": 86.024666, "fair_value": 71.792884, "relative_strength": -3.445378, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.193964, "energy": 45.501849, "activity_lines": [ 90.380667, 90.464728, 89.339953, 87.720151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 90.699997, "volume": 14100, "typical_volume": 10790.0, "trend": 86.272333, "fair_value": 72.022307, "relative_strength": -1.588507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.299983, "energy": 40.091693, "activity_lines": [ 90.475333, 90.495273, 89.671952, 88.021785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 93.150002, "volume": 1700, "typical_volume": 10085.0, "trend": 86.551667, "fair_value": 72.268846, "relative_strength": -1.958804, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.054385, "energy": 53.14686, "activity_lines": [ 91.273333, 90.968727, 90.188857, 88.465505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }