{ "ticker": { "uuid": "120285d1-e660-46dc-993b-dff5b6ec87b8", "symbol": "301622", "name": "Baotou INST Magnetic New Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.507, "architecture_energy": 85.883, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.5, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.6, "rotation_up": 9.81, "upward_expansion": 21.46, "deceleration": 37.24, "rotation_down": 75.78, "downward_expansion": 94.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.949333, 44.113636, 49.431814, 53.163371 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 42.869999, "trend_reference": 58.075042, "distance_from_trend": -0.261817, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 68.529405, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.374429, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.758102, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.369117, "excess_performance": -0.376517, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.261817, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103984, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 36.849998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.331613, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.186653, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.331613, "worst_return": -0.331613, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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-83.062839, "energy": 93.447395, "activity_lines": [ 41.718, 46.977454, 51.889611, 55.391987 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.950001, "volume": 6139857, "typical_volume": 7351323.4, "trend": 58.787425, "fair_value": 68.82777, "relative_strength": -38.438785, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.235589, "energy": 88.249099, "activity_lines": [ 40.728667, 45.190545, 50.510432, 54.190302 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.869999, "volume": 7046519, "typical_volume": 7320227.75, "trend": 58.075042, "fair_value": 68.529405, "relative_strength": -37.758102, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.507018, "energy": 85.883175, "activity_lines": [ 40.949333, 44.113636, 49.431814, 53.163371 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }