{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "12063c6e-7bc9-4f88-bd52-e816fb95dea9",
    "symbol": "EXI",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST GLOBAL INDUSTRIALS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 83.152,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.689,
    "architecture_energy": 45.375,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.771,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.288,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.68,
        "rotation_up": 57.32,
        "upward_expansion": 78.24,
        "deceleration": 57.73,
        "rotation_down": 20.12,
        "downward_expansion": 4.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        200.026667,
        198.823698,
        196.578295,
        194.554728
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 205.24,
    "trend_reference": 192.476778,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.06631,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 151.576633,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.354035,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.154564,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.061775,
    "excess_performance": -0.06385,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06631,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043923,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.354035,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001179,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001546,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000104,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061775,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.902075,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 136410,
      "relative_activity": 0.506238,
      "balance": 0.902075,
      "dry_up": 0.640776,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029629,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.163416,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004716,
      "from_low_reference": 0.252841
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 192.476778,
      "fair_value_reference": 151.576633,
      "structural_low": 173.524731,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.01302,
        "positive_rate": 0.702703,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.702703,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008518,
        "regime_survival": 0.783784,
        "best_return": 0.074219,
        "worst_return": -0.11458,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035266,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
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        "worst_return": -0.073,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.047461,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.270013,
        "worst_return": -0.122207,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 149.468693,
        "relative_strength": -1.371957,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 282031.4,
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        "fair_value": 149.965406,
        "relative_strength": -1.32827,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 55.592591,
        "energy": 43.75894,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 197.73,
        "volume": 184337,
        "typical_volume": 276454.55,
        "trend": 190.99608,
        "fair_value": 150.473349,
        "relative_strength": 0.664683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 55.913362,
        "energy": 35.786774,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 198.26,
        "volume": 212655,
        "typical_volume": 271575.95,
        "trend": 191.71388,
        "fair_value": 151.001789,
        "relative_strength": -0.155485,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.034453,
        "energy": 31.755259,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 205.24,
        "volume": 136410,
        "typical_volume": 269458.35,
        "trend": 192.476778,
        "fair_value": 151.576633,
        "relative_strength": -0.154564,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.688533,
        "energy": 45.374953,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}