{ "ticker": { "uuid": "120a4145-d528-4ebc-8bc8-b9e4ec1f0564", "symbol": "APLE", "name": "Apple Hospitality REIT Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.768, "architecture_energy": 54.992, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 67.61, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.79, "rotation_up": 46.82, "upward_expansion": 72.15, "deceleration": 65.48, "rotation_down": 27.53, "downward_expansion": 22.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.467009, 16.505288, 15.713248, 14.830104 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 16.18, "trend_reference": 13.765963, "distance_from_trend": 0.175363, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.800145, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.264048, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.240828, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.36398, "excess_performance": 0.238356, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.175363, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135503, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.264048, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144508, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.132408, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059114, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.36398, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.057919, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21210789, "relative_activity": 1.31288, "balance": 1.057919, "dry_up": 0.988775, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04848, "annualized_volatility": 0.203012, "from_high_reference": -0.063657, "from_low_reference": 0.560354 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.765963, "fair_value_reference": 12.800145, "structural_low": 11.226819, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.000441, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.000195, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.152754, "worst_return": -0.153022, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.051209, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.011261, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.279733, "worst_return": -0.114181, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.024165, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.029474, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.397204, "worst_return": -0.170216, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 15603303.7, "trend": 13.468826, "fair_value": 12.747234, "relative_strength": 23.26039, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.109249, "energy": 65.929958, "activity_lines": [ 16.66122, 16.438852, 15.339734, 14.469363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.51, "volume": 18376406, "typical_volume": 15851734.4, "trend": 13.629677, "fair_value": 12.774485, "relative_strength": 20.044563, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.838241, "energy": 62.856878, "activity_lines": [ 16.606864, 16.521948, 15.554186, 14.665567 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.18, "volume": 21210789, "typical_volume": 16155924.7, "trend": 13.765963, "fair_value": 12.800145, "relative_strength": 13.240828, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.76828, "energy": 54.992028, "activity_lines": [ 16.467009, 16.505288, 15.713248, 14.830104 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }