{ "ticker": { "uuid": "120d02a4-f854-484f-9111-9ce781749b47", "symbol": "RSG", "name": "Resolute Mining Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 70.024, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.992, "architecture_energy": 43.561, "architecture_maturity": 41.772, "architecture_confidence": 80.691, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.98, "rotation_up": 25.36, "upward_expansion": 11.03, "deceleration": 58.79, "rotation_down": 49.09, "downward_expansion": 75.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.524533, 0.526, 0.577271, 0.614667 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.58, "trend_reference": 0.6522, "distance_from_trend": -0.110702, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.361833, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.602948, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.970031, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.107692, "excess_performance": -0.158928, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110702, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00713, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.602948, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.513427, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.0797, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.386346, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.107692, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.871573, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 576867, "relative_activity": 0.99172, "balance": 0.871573, "dry_up": 0.988538, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129867, "annualized_volatility": 0.632403, "from_high_reference": -0.325581, "from_low_reference": 0.907895 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.6522, "fair_value_reference": 0.361833, "structural_low": 0.45, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.039773, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": 0.041199, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.319635, "worst_return": -0.202454, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.014563, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.04245, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.916318, "worst_return": -0.32321, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.375, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.30299, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.810277, "worst_return": -0.338983, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.298876, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.092593, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.769369, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.094905, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.235727, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.002646, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 0.516, "volume": 592549, "typical_volume": 610966.05, "trend": 0.658333, "fair_value": 0.357301, "relative_strength": -16.033415, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.796169, "energy": 72.480472, "activity_lines": [ 0.5044, 0.534691, 0.596338, 0.630327 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.49, "volume": 563457, "typical_volume": 605983.5, "trend": 0.6544, "fair_value": 0.359234, "relative_strength": -21.548413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.382306, "energy": 67.938396, "activity_lines": [ 0.4976, 0.520764, 0.581886, 0.619467 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.58, "volume": 576867, "typical_volume": 581683.2, "trend": 0.6522, "fair_value": 0.361833, "relative_strength": -7.970031, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.992389, "energy": 43.561242, "activity_lines": [ 0.524533, 0.526, 0.577271, 0.614667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }