{ "ticker": { "uuid": "121c74a5-cb97-4a6c-bb35-9fe29ca8cb4c", "symbol": "ROST", "name": "Ross Stores, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.016, "architecture_energy": 85.003, "architecture_maturity": 17.43, "architecture_confidence": 80.212, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.56, "rotation_up": 78.78, "upward_expansion": 92.52, "deceleration": 44.8, "rotation_down": 11.27, "downward_expansion": 21.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 213.486665, 206.294454, 201.38046, 196.39403 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 219.699997, "trend_reference": 188.120308, "distance_from_trend": 0.16787, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 139.05429, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.579958, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.590509, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.363334, "excess_performance": 0.189087, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.16787, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102186, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.579958, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112161, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.085905, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034647, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.363334, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39, "relative_activity": 1.133721, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 1.082849, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044524, "annualized_volatility": 0.237097, "from_high_reference": -0.018977, "from_low_reference": 0.802322 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 188.120308, "fair_value_reference": 139.05429, "structural_low": 159.513074, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.012273, "positive_rate": 0.612903, "directional_follow_through": 0.612903, "median_excess_return": -0.015741, "regime_survival": 0.774194, "best_return": 0.199617, "worst_return": -0.089796, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.071685, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.02734, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.2451, "worst_return": -0.202954, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.081382, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.025931, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.448632, "worst_return": -0.18064, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.916843, "energy": 28.720501, "activity_lines": [ 196.229334, 197.394455, 195.201507, 190.343019 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 208.399994, "volume": 19, "typical_volume": 30.45, "trend": 184.102639, "fair_value": 137.528125, "relative_strength": 7.127347, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.436906, "energy": 43.436823, "activity_lines": [ 200.535999, 199.485764, 196.730081, 192.030998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 218.300003, "volume": 41, "typical_volume": 32.5, "trend": 186.270365, "fair_value": 138.289267, "relative_strength": 11.637334, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.277568, "energy": 72.279266, "activity_lines": [ 207.832666, 202.930041, 199.074842, 194.23728 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 219.699997, "volume": 39, "typical_volume": 34.4, "trend": 188.120308, "fair_value": 139.05429, "relative_strength": 8.590509, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.016432, "energy": 85.00344, "activity_lines": [ 213.486665, 206.294454, 201.38046, 196.39403 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }