{ "ticker": { "uuid": "122ee8eb-b188-4005-8c92-e7220172d6aa", "symbol": "LDRI", "name": "ISHARES IBONDS 1-5 YEAR TIPS LADDER ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 50.336, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.594, "architecture_energy": 29.933, "architecture_maturity": 37.71, "architecture_confidence": 88.794, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.21, "rotation_up": 25.65, "upward_expansion": 15.42, "deceleration": 41.05, "rotation_down": 37.99, "downward_expansion": 65.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.956773, 24.954918, 25.003332, 25.080342 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 24.975, "trend_reference": 25.156772, "distance_from_trend": -0.007226, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.6476, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.013283, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.552331, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.010903, "excess_performance": -0.136528, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.007226, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002032, "read": "Falling" 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"invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.003367, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.007987, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.003367, "worst_return": 0.003367, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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44054.65, "trend": 25.162458, "fair_value": 24.644293, "relative_strength": -8.917745, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.091524, "energy": 37.113618, "activity_lines": [ 24.948547, 24.952505, 25.016554, 25.092436 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.975, "volume": 32730, "typical_volume": 45279.6, "trend": 25.156772, "fair_value": 24.6476, "relative_strength": -11.552331, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.59425, "energy": 29.933173, "activity_lines": [ 24.956773, 24.954918, 25.003332, 25.080342 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }