{ "ticker": { "uuid": "122f93db-84ce-4726-9104-b2a4f819cb44", "symbol": "OPRX", "name": "OPTIMIZERx Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 71.803, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 11.088, "architecture_energy": 21.625, "architecture_maturity": 14.829, "architecture_confidence": 65.417, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.12, "rotation_up": 42.84, "upward_expansion": 33.86, "deceleration": 43.33, "rotation_down": 14.43, "downward_expansion": 42.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.540667, 6.225455, 5.979333, 6.214237 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.08, "trend_reference": 6.995, "distance_from_trend": 0.012152, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.143141, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.301991, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -45.278331, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.349862, "excess_performance": -0.537316, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.012152, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.277898, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.301991, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103427, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.452783, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136475, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.349862, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.023928, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 798067, "relative_activity": 0.385031, "balance": 1.023928, "dry_up": 0.49689, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117132, "annualized_volatility": 0.706313, "from_high_reference": -0.681798, "from_low_reference": 0.559471 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.995, "fair_value_reference": 10.143141, "structural_low": 4.54, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.021424, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.060381, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.349287, "worst_return": -0.3419, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.171429, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.367035, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.721386, "worst_return": -0.437971, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.284852, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.503956, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.539157, "worst_return": -0.661412, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.454175, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.805846, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.317771, "worst_return": -0.511324, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-02-02", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.135559, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.061901, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.388412, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.077944, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.498182, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.299699, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.103009, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.595326, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.205575, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.099644, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.046607, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.075843, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.48642, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.170248, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 8.66, "volume": 1576161, "typical_volume": 576129.75, "trend": 14.639, "fair_value": 35.072885, "relative_strength": -52.708997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early 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37.417041, "activity_lines": [ 5.462667, 5.382, 5.760143, 6.580559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 6.41, "volume": 1693317, "typical_volume": 2390035.35, "trend": 7.845333, "fair_value": 10.324679, "relative_strength": -53.811407, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.657107, "energy": 25.054861, "activity_lines": [ 5.824, 5.545455, 5.785333, 6.473011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.69, "volume": 1267420, "typical_volume": 2352281.65, "trend": 7.618, "fair_value": 10.277692, "relative_strength": -49.005649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.400741, "energy": 20.350787, "activity_lines": [ 6.192, 5.765091, 5.845714, 6.398473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.24, "volume": 1065805, "typical_volume": 2209249.7, "trend": 7.41, "fair_value": 10.228718, "relative_strength": -50.847001, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.030072, "energy": 22.731199, "activity_lines": [ 6.312667, 5.898364, 5.867476, 6.30957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.05, "volume": 988389, "typical_volume": 2139324.55, "trend": 7.197667, "fair_value": 10.180064, "relative_strength": -51.913424, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.382692, "energy": 19.0834, "activity_lines": [ 6.286, 5.978364, 5.873524, 6.221828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.08, "volume": 798067, "typical_volume": 2072731.75, "trend": 6.995, "fair_value": 10.143141, "relative_strength": -45.278331, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 11.088358, "energy": 21.624526, "activity_lines": [ 6.540667, 6.225455, 5.979333, 6.214237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }